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almost 5 years
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EVE Online
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| 0s | [Laughter] |
|---|---|
| 6s | there we go oh my god oh no build me an |
| 14s | arch alright here we go |
| 18s | alright so Wow hello Toronto uh I'm |
| 23s | about to start this presentation which |
| 27s | is kind of like the the one in Vegas |
| 30s | where I basically harvested tears now in |
| 36s | this case at the end of this |
| 38s | presentation I might be the one know |
| 41s | we'll see because this presentation has |
| 44s | taken me through a lot of research |
| 47s | because this is going to go in a little |
| 50s | different direction and and so in this |
| 58s | in this part what's that I'm not ready |
| 64s | for this speech |
| 65s | wait what's wait what's going on wait |
| 70s | hold on wait oh god dang it guys did |
| 91s | this to me I gotta do the mic otherwise |
| 95s | it's gonna get all messed up okay yeah |
| 103s | better time we could have done this |
| 105s | before the presentation |
| 111s | [Laughter] |
| 115s | [Applause] |
| 119s | I had no choice for those who are on the |
| 121s | stream I had no choice and being the |
| 124s | space-boat it's all you |
| 126s | did this to me |
| 130s | alright I'm gonna start over hello |
| 132s | Toronto Oh Eve North alright for those |
| 140s | who for those who are new to Eve this |
| 146s | I'm gonna show you I want to get started |
| 148s | in showing you the original origin story |
| 151s | that ccp ran for a couple years before |
| 153s | they changed it up because i'm going to |
| 156s | talk about are we alone in New Eden and |
| 160s | are we alone in the Milky Way so I'm |
| 162s | going to play this this video and then |
| 165s | I'm gonna kind of summarize it so here |
| 167s | we go |
| 172s | the origin of our ancestors |
| 183s | a century had passed since they |
| 186s | discovered these gate |
| 190s | wormhole passage to a remote corner of |
| 195s | the universe |
| 198s | New Eden |
| 201s | it was the largest colonization effort |
| 204s | in the history of man |
| 207s | the mass settlement of hundreds of |
| 210s | strange new worlds we thought nothing |
| 214s | could stop us |
| 227s | after the Eastgate collapsed countless |
| 231s | colonies perished |
| 234s | the scattered survivors forgot the |
| 237s | old-world fragments of mankind |
| 242s | light-years apart lost contact |
| 247s | thousands of dark years passed until |
| 251s | humanity rose again to be with the Stars |
| 255s | one of my favorite songs in different |
| 259s | corners of New Eden great empires had |
| 262s | evolved |
| 264s | [Music] |
| 266s | different faces of humanity when they |
| 272s | clashed |
| 274s | the wars |
| 282s | [Music] |
| 287s | dead body that's just thought I'd end on |
| 292s | the dead body so a brief summary put in |
| 295s | text so this is called multimodal |
| 297s | learning so for those who left brain |
| 300s | right brain I'll take this a little |
| 301s | different direction so there's the same |
| 304s | story that basically we are in the Milky |
| 306s | Way and the inhabitants of New Eden |
| 309s | don't even know about Earth basically if |
| 311s | when you say earth in New Eden that's |
| 314s | like saying Atlantis to us because it's |
| 316s | a it's a lost it's a lost place and and |
| 319s | they really don't know where that is and |
| 321s | when we talk about the New Eden cluster |
| 323s | clusters are groups of stars inside |
| 327s | galaxies so I was at CCP headquarters |
| 330s | about five years and I kept asking well |
| 332s | what is named in the galaxy and and I |
| 334s | explained a clusters to them and and |
| 337s | they were like whoa we don't have a name |
| 338s | for the galaxy so that may someday |
| 340s | appear but right now we call it the New |
| 342s | Eden cluster and there was the Eve gate |
| 344s | between the two and it was the largest |
| 347s | colonization effort in the history of |
| 350s | man we sent out these huge colony ships |
| 352s | and we spread out and so Humanity in |
| 357s | early colonization just branched out and |
| 359s | we set up a little white house and a |
| 362s | white picket fence two cats in the yard |
| 364s | and all that stuff and it got to be |
| 366s | hundreds mass settlements hundreds of |
| 369s | mass settlements that were out there but |
| 371s | then oh something happened the Eve gate |
| 375s | exploded and and it collapsed and then |
| 379s | all of a sudden they lost everything |
| 382s | this is I'm gonna use the term called |
| 384s | great filters I'm going to talk about |
| 385s | great filters during this talk but all |
| 388s | of a sudden what was hundreds of |
| 391s | colonies now became only five and there |
| 395s | was an extinction by natural events they |
| 397s | destroyed themselves a lack of resources |
| 399s | or they starve to death and again I'm |
| 402s | going to talk about more of these |
| 403s | filters but this lasted for many |
| 406s | thousands of years during the dark ages |
| 408s | and they all lost spaceflight except |
| 412s | some lore people said Joe have never |
| 414s | lost a spaceflight but we don't have a |
| 417s | lot of information on that but these are |
| 419s | isolated survivor |
| 420s | there was no communications except for |
| 422s | the Gallente in the cold area because |
| 424s | they were in the same solar system so |
| 426s | they were probably talking planned at |
| 428s | the planet but the Amara in the mid of |
| 430s | Atari they didn't know of each other out |
| 432s | there except for the Joe of the Joe of |
| 434s | were potentially the first to take |
| 436s | flight that's why I like that one you |
| 439s | see the rocket taking off because it's |
| 441s | like they had to reinvent physics they |
| 444s | had to reinvent spaceflight they had to |
| 445s | reinvent all of this because of the |
| 447s | disaster that had occurred and then and |
| 451s | then the others followed humanity rose |
| 453s | again to be with the Stars so the cold |
| 456s | area the Minmatar the omar and the glen |
| 458s | t arose again and the jove had a couple |
| 461s | different empires in the lore there was |
| 463s | first empire second empire third empire |
| 465s | matter of fact I'm not qualified to talk |
| 468s | about the Jovians but Mikado is also in |
| 470s | going to talk about this with the Tri |
| 473s | gravy ins and that could be the result |
| 477s | where these drifters and the Tri glaive |
| 479s | Ian's and the sleepers may have come |
| 480s | from so we kind of don't count the Jove |
| 484s | when we say four different phases of |
| 486s | humanity because in the marketing that's |
| 489s | the four phases that you can play and as |
| 491s | you know you can't play that jove or any |
| 493s | of the Jove ancestors out there so |
| 496s | that's new Eden today and again there's |
| 498s | been a lot of work done on the Jovian |
| 500s | history and I've only modified this |
| 504s | chart in green and red you know where |
| 506s | I've declared they've come from the |
| 508s | tyrants but I have no data on that so |
| 511s | it's just faith because you know |
| 513s | believing in something with no data it's |
| 516s | just the leap of faith but Tyron sound |
| 519s | cool and try claim Ian's begins with a |
| 521s | tea so I know sodium are the caldera and |
| 528s | the Glen tee and the Minotaur and the |
| 530s | all the Jovian a sentence you know it |
| 532s | just wasn't this time when humanity |
| 535s | humanity rose to be with the Stars but |
| 539s | why are we talking about humanity well |
| 542s | the aliens at where are they they gotta |
| 548s | be out there so you know we've over the |
| 550s | years we've talked to CCP and say where |
| 552s | are the |
| 553s | one of the intelligent aliens yeah we |
| 555s | have photos and we have flavor hounds |
| 558s | but you have a whole galaxy and the |
| 561s | smartest thing in that galaxy is a slave |
| 563s | around what so we're all aliens so the |
| 567s | official word that's the that's the felt |
| 573s | that's the Falcon nebula up there even |
| 577s | the star of humans being humans and we |
| 579s | were ruthless cut hole cut throat |
| 581s | assholes |
| 582s | Eva's always will be the story of humans |
| 585s | being humans and aliens really not |
| 587s | needed so based on that it's basically |
| 591s | pretty much humans humans humans humans |
| 594s | humans humans everywhere but in the real |
| 599s | life in in the real world not in the |
| 601s | game world is this realistic is it |
| 602s | really scientific and actually this is a |
| 606s | very haunting question because the |
| 609s | answer is yes so that's my introduction |
| 614s | everybody knows I do half my |
| 616s | presentation is an introduction and so |
| 618s | but I couldn't convince CCP to make this |
| 621s | my my title the Fermi paradox Drake |
| 624s | Equation the rare earth hypothesis and |
| 626s | abiogenesis is one so hello Toronto so I |
| 636s | look out I mean I'm an astronomer I've |
| 638s | worked at Palomar and I've done things |
| 641s | with JPL and I've done stuff and I've |
| 643s | looked out there and I myself I myself |
| 646s | has asked the question is there anybody |
| 648s | out there at all and you guys made me |
| 651s | the space Pope but in the 1950 in the |
| 654s | 1950s there was another Pope actually he |
| 657s | was called the Pope of physics and that |
| 660s | was Enrico Fermi and I'm 59 he died at |
| 664s | 53 winning |
| 668s | but he was dealing with nuclear power |
| 671s | and radiation and all that stuff he |
| 674s | worked at Alamos he wasn't an astronomer |
| 676s | he was just a physicist he didn't do any |
| 678s | science matter of fact there's this |
| 680s | thing called the Fermi paradox and the |
| 683s | Fermi paradox is is just a statement it |
| 687s | wasn't a paper it wasn't a journal it |
| 691s | wasn't a lecture it was a lunchtime |
| 693s | conversation he was sitting at lunchtime |
| 698s | with Edie teller Herbert York Amell |
| 701s | Kaminsky and in him and they were just |
| 705s | sitting at lunch that's not the actual |
| 706s | lunch photo but it looked very much like |
| 708s | that even to this very day some things |
| 711s | don't change but that is the actual |
| 713s | cartoon he was looking at in the paper I |
| 715s | guess there was a trash crisis in New |
| 717s | York and they were calling on the aliens |
| 720s | to bring trash cans to New York so but |
| 724s | so he looked at that that cartoon and he |
| 726s | said where is everybody and they all |
| 728s | laughed because they immediately they |
| 730s | kind of knew what he was meant the |
| 731s | universe is supposed to be full of life |
| 733s | but well if that's the case where are |
| 735s | they but another man ten years later in |
| 738s | 1961 Frank Drake and oh look I brought a |
| 744s | Drake Frank we have a way to find them |
| 750s | because Frank Drake was talking about |
| 753s | using radio telescopes and using the |
| 757s | radio telescopes it was to reach out and |
| 759s | try to listen because this you can send |
| 764s | radio signals at the speed of light so |
| 768s | it makes sense that we would hear from |
| 769s | someone before they actually travel |
| 772s | 40,000 years to to get there when oops I |
| 777s | went out of the zone then then actually |
| 782s | spending that time you can spend the |
| 785s | speed of light so instead of 40,000 |
| 786s | years you could maybe spend you know a |
| 789s | half a year sending that or four years |
| 791s | whatever so this guy Frank Drake came up |
| 795s | with this came up with this formula and |
| 798s | this formula was just to get us |
| 802s | think because he really wanted to come |
| 804s | up with funding for a special project |
| 806s | what was that project I bet most of you |
| 809s | yeah so I love you guys |
| 812s | I can talk in AU and you know exactly |
| 815s | what I mean yeah so this formula was is |
| 819s | what he took came out and started with |
| 822s | and this was what's called the Drake |
| 825s | Equation and so I like that but I made |
| 829s | it a little more colorful it's the same |
| 831s | formula the actual answer to this |
| 834s | formula is we don't know period dot we |
| 839s | don't know now there are some things we |
| 840s | do know that we can fill in the values |
| 842s | to these variables what we do know is |
| 845s | that the the number of civilizations how |
| 849s | many that we don't know but we know that |
| 851s | the galaxy the Milky Way creates about |
| 853s | three solar mass of stars a year so the |
| 857s | Milky Way is still building stars |
| 859s | not-so-bad exoplanets is is four |
| 864s | thousand now so it's four thousand |
| 868s | exoplanets that we that we know of but |
| 870s | one of the things we don't know is the |
| 872s | average number of those planets that |
| 874s | create an ecosystem where the materials |
| 879s | for life could actually exist not life |
| 882s | just the materials that are set up for |
| 885s | that life like polymers like polymers |
| 891s | because a cell a cell has like a polymer |
| 895s | and the little goo inside the cell and |
| 897s | all that so all of that has to kind of |
| 899s | exist within that ecosystem and then |
| 901s | this is the big one this is this is the |
| 903s | fraction of those planets that succeed |
| 906s | in developing life and this is what I'm |
| 910s | going to talk later in the presentation |
| 912s | called the zone and then those fraction |
| 917s | of those planets that life to develop |
| 919s | intelligent life no I always giggle when |
| 922s | I say intelligent life because what does |
| 924s | intelligent life mean you know the apes |
| 927s | are intelligent the Dolphins are |
| 929s | extremely intelligent cats |
| 932s | my wife says they're in tillich |
| 934s | and she argued with me and she said put |
| 939s | a cat on your slide yeah yeah snowball |
| 943s | yeah if you know the story of snow I |
| 945s | have a black cats call snowball it's |
| 947s | like really mean maybe that's why don't |
| 950s | know but but what is the intelligence |
| 953s | that so I define intelligence as the |
| 955s | ability to make a clock radio |
| 958s | that's the charlie factor you know how |
| 960s | many how many civilizations in the |
| 963s | entire universe has made a VCR and it is |
| 968s | a VCR a measure of intelligent life |
| 971s | maybe not so much and then how many of |
| 975s | those live because we've only been alive |
| 979s | a very short time in this and you know |
| 982s | people say maybe we're on the verge of |
| 985s | destruction or whatever of the human |
| 987s | race and so if that's true for us maybe |
| 989s | that's true of other aliens maybe they |
| 991s | just live for a hundred thousand years |
| 993s | and blow up we're not even that long as |
| 996s | far as that so that's the entire Drake |
| 998s | Equation in that Drake Equation was |
| 1001s | designed to get funding for SETI because |
| 1005s | it appeals to all of the the mathematics |
| 1009s | and when you're dealing with the |
| 1010s | mathematics that big number of 200 |
| 1016s | billion stars in our galaxy |
| 1019s | you start with that number and then any |
| 1022s | fraction of that is going to be a big |
| 1024s | number and so Elon Musk says oh there's |
| 1029s | trillions of alien civilizations you |
| 1032s | know either they don't last long or |
| 1034s | there are a lot of aliens and so some |
| 1036s | say no it's maybe like 30 in our solar |
| 1039s | in our galaxy maybe some say 30,000 |
| 1044s | we're comforted by these numbers I'm |
| 1047s | gonna take you a different direction |
| 1048s | Sean Carroll actually said not really |
| 1052s | life could be rare the probability of |
| 1056s | starting could be one Google one |
| 1060s | followed by a hundred zeros is a Google |
| 1063s | and it's misspelled as the Google you |
| 1067s | know |
| 1067s | because they this kind of screwed it up |
| 1069s | but the the real Google is one with a |
| 1072s | hundred and this is an insane number |
| 1074s | this mess if I talked about an Octavian |
| 1078s | or a sextillion what's that mean |
| 1080s | to us you know can we even comprehend a |
| 1083s | hundred versus a hundred thousand these |
| 1086s | are numbers that are so big it's hard to |
| 1089s | really understand it's basically what if |
| 1092s | you had a thousand dice and they all had |
| 1094s | to land on six Mac singularity six you |
| 1098s | know sixth Empire so you have to roll a |
| 1100s | six on a thousand of die and that's |
| 1103s | maybe your chances for each plan to go |
| 1105s | to each planet roll that maybe that's |
| 1107s | what your numbers are but the answer |
| 1109s | still is we don't know we really don't |
| 1112s | however I can boil it down to two |
| 1115s | options for discussions sake one either |
| 1118s | we live in a totally crowded universe |
| 1121s | with a whole bunch of civilizations out |
| 1123s | there just waiting to slap us in the |
| 1126s | face and get a kill mill yeah yeah we |
| 1136s | made contact and yeah exactly and and |
| 1141s | why would they travel that far to do |
| 1143s | that you know for our resources what |
| 1145s | resources do we have on earth hello |
| 1148s | water that's everywhere what the |
| 1151s | resources we have there so or we could |
| 1153s | live also in a barren universe to in |
| 1156s | there and there's that possibility so in |
| 1158s | the crowded universe that's fun because |
| 1161s | we're comforted by the mathematics that |
| 1164s | we're comforted by the statistics this |
| 1166s | is when math is our friend and we like |
| 1169s | math because it feels good and by that |
| 1172s | we've seen so many science fiction's all |
| 1174s | the science fiction's are better with |
| 1175s | aliens in them and we've seen so many |
| 1178s | movies and so forth that are like that |
| 1181s | but in a barren universe the thought of |
| 1186s | us being alone is haunting and |
| 1188s | disturbing and it's really not all that |
| 1190s | comfortable so I'm not gonna think about |
| 1193s | you know I don't like thinking about |
| 1195s | stuff that that that I don't like no I'm |
| 1198s | not gonna do it |
| 1200s | and so we |
| 1201s | as a race of human beings we tend not to |
| 1205s | think about these things we don't like |
| 1207s | it's not popular it's not a soundbite |
| 1209s | it's not clickbait it's not fast it's |
| 1212s | not something you can generate clicks on |
| 1214s | unless you make it sensationalist you |
| 1217s | know and put it on the Internet life |
| 1219s | Baron says Charles |
| 1221s | nobody's clicking on that so so we |
| 1225s | don't think about it so I talked about |
| 1227s | these things called the great filters |
| 1229s | and the great filters there's tons and |
| 1232s | tons and tons of these filters that are |
| 1233s | out there it's amazing all the things |
| 1236s | that are trying to kill us that are out |
| 1238s | there |
| 1239s | radiation folks it burns it really does |
| 1242s | suck I don't know if you've watched |
| 1243s | Chernobyl yet I haven't but all the |
| 1244s | spoilers are coming so I haven't |
| 1246s | recorded I'm gonna watch it yet |
| 1247s | the impacts you can just ask the |
| 1249s | dinosaurs hey how'd that go for you guys |
| 1251s | the space the sheer size of space is one |
| 1255s | of the biggest filters of them all and |
| 1257s | and time are we early in the evolution |
| 1260s | of the galaxy are we late are we at the |
| 1262s | end of it |
| 1263s | the universe believe it or not is just |
| 1265s | beginning it's only 13.8 billion years |
| 1267s | old only only it could last to be a |
| 1271s | hundred thousand billion billion years |
| 1275s | from now it could it's really awesome |
| 1278s | when you think about some some of the |
| 1279s | physics that are out there in the gases |
| 1282s | the gases can change the atmosphere |
| 1283s | there Earth was not did not have a blue |
| 1286s | sky there Earth had a red sky when it |
| 1289s | formed for many billion years until life |
| 1292s | turned it blue well people on stream are |
| 1297s | going a super knows of stars blowing up |
| 1301s | next to you metallicity |
| 1304s | what's in your blood iron calcium you |
| 1309s | need those things in your blood when you |
| 1312s | start adding up all the things about |
| 1314s | life it becomes this really complicated |
| 1316s | listen including these habitable zones |
| 1319s | like Goldilocks porridge what if one is |
| 1322s | too hot earth is too close to the Sun |
| 1324s | it's too hot or Earth is too far and |
| 1327s | it's too cold but the one in the middle |
| 1330s | just like Goldilocks is just right okay |
| 1333s | a lot of you guys know this |
| 1335s | but what about the Galactic Goldilocks |
| 1338s | zone wait what yeah there's a galactic |
| 1342s | Goldilocks zone if you're in the |
| 1344s | galactic core there's a lot of filters |
| 1346s | there that want to kill you the gases |
| 1348s | the impacts the radiation supernovas I |
| 1352s | mean you literally they're stars moving |
| 1354s | everywhere you know this stars are not |
| 1357s | for your light-years away there are |
| 1359s | there fractions of light air away so |
| 1361s | they're moving around there's black |
| 1364s | holes thousands of black holes that are |
| 1366s | there and if you go out to the black |
| 1368s | Galactic rim out near the edge there's |
| 1373s | not enough metal and the star types are |
| 1376s | different out there and yeah you can |
| 1378s | have some impacts out there too impacts |
| 1380s | are in all of them but there's this |
| 1382s | Goldilocks zone in the galaxy that is |
| 1385s | also just right and some of these |
| 1387s | filters especially impacts those |
| 1389s | wouldn't be a pretty bad day now |
| 1392s | actually we talked about the asteroid |
| 1395s | that hit the dinosaurs it was bad for |
| 1397s | them but it was kind of good for us |
| 1400s | because no more dinosaurs I mean I tell |
| 1405s | you a velociraptor would have eaten all |
| 1407s | our Apes out of the trees yeah yeah |
| 1410s | would not have been good supernovas |
| 1413s | those are also bad and good they're bad |
| 1415s | and that they can totally explode and |
| 1417s | take out a planet but they're good |
| 1419s | because guess what that's how the metals |
| 1421s | that's how the iron in your blood was in |
| 1425s | the core of a massive red giant once |
| 1428s | upon a time the same iron this is why |
| 1431s | Carl Sagan says we are made of star |
| 1433s | stuff this is my religion right here |
| 1437s | this is this is we don't need the fables |
| 1440s | we just need the truth about what it |
| 1443s | actually is to see the beauty the |
| 1445s | self-imposed filters of these are |
| 1448s | self-imposed these are filters we put on |
| 1451s | us stupid things like war that's filled |
| 1454s | with hate in ideology and economics and |
| 1457s | stupid intolerance and lucky for all of |
| 1461s | us you know there's pride months and you |
| 1464s | know you know there was gonna be a lot |
| 1465s | of parades in Toronto this weekend |
| 1468s | that's |
| 1468s | Eponine and we've already seen a few |
| 1470s | friends and I know a lot of CCP |
| 1473s | employees that practice this all year |
| 1475s | long it's not just a one-month thing so |
| 1477s | kudos to to just CCP for doing that but |
| 1486s | as Carl Sagan has said think of the |
| 1488s | rivers of blood that soldiers and |
| 1490s | generals are fought over for mode one |
| 1494s | side of a little tiny dot to the other |
| 1497s | side of a tiny little dot and who knows |
| 1500s | we're developing new technology we're |
| 1502s | probably gonna get killed by robots |
| 1503s | anyway so I'm on the anti robot rights |
| 1507s | committee so it's not gonna happen and |
| 1510s | you know drones rogue drones let's just |
| 1513s | kill them now biologic filters you know |
| 1517s | we're building superbugs people are |
| 1520s | using antibiotics for the wrong reasons |
| 1525s | engineered bio warfare how stupid can |
| 1527s | that be and a global pandemic which we |
| 1530s | haven't seen in our lifetime but it is |
| 1532s | possible you know and now this whole |
| 1535s | thing about resistance to vaccinations |
| 1539s | and all that stuff |
| 1541s | climate change we're not just talking |
| 1543s | storms and flooding what you have not |
| 1546s | heard a lot of in the news that keeps me |
| 1549s | and my wife awake is the deadly heat and |
| 1552s | I'm not going to talk about deadly heat |
| 1554s | because I mean what this is about but |
| 1556s | deadly heats coming and this town is |
| 1558s | coming like a ghost town this is Bodie |
| 1560s | California you know and the resources |
| 1564s | you know right now we pay for water or |
| 1565s | we're gonna have to pay for air someday |
| 1567s | in population this this freaked me out |
| 1571s | now it's not a good eve presentation |
| 1573s | unless there's a really good chart so |
| 1580s | have to keep up the tradition this |
| 1583s | freaks me out |
| 1584s | I was born folks in 1960 there were |
| 1586s | three billion of my fellow human beings |
| 1589s | on this planet three billion in 1960 |
| 1592s | it's 2019 I'm 59 years and it's not just |
| 1598s | doubled it's over double its 7.7 and |
| 1602s | we're head |
| 1602s | to eight billion people very soon but |
| 1605s | look at from 1962 I don't know let's go |
| 1608s | zero |
| 1610s | there was a hundred ninety million |
| 1611s | people or let's go to four million ten |
| 1614s | thousand years ago this is are you |
| 1619s | scared |
| 1620s | this scares me this is something |
| 1623s | I'm this is not even the carbon SiC |
| 1625s | signature even though you look at the |
| 1627s | carbon in the atmosphere this is just |
| 1629s | number of eyeballs that are out there |
| 1633s | that are crazy the you know where I was |
| 1637s | going with that all right the greatest |
| 1638s | filter of them although all of those |
| 1641s | filters happens before life and if I |
| 1645s | couldn't make this any darker let's go |
| 1648s | even darker that there's a word for this |
| 1650s | one event that occurred it's called |
| 1652s | abiogenesis now you may have heard of |
| 1655s | biogenesis biogenesis is the development |
| 1657s | of life or preceding life forms but |
| 1661s | abiogenesis is life arising from nothing |
| 1664s | or right life arising from mud and |
| 1668s | before abiogenesis happens on each |
| 1671s | planet there has to be enough metals |
| 1673s | enough water enough minerals enough |
| 1675s | gases enough pressure pressure so you |
| 1678s | have to have the right size of planet |
| 1680s | just enough heat you have to be in the |
| 1681s | Goldilocks zone and you got all this |
| 1683s | chemical science this is biology science |
| 1688s | I don't do biology I do some geology but |
| 1691s | I don't do the biology but this is all |
| 1693s | of the RNA and PNAS and the DNA's and |
| 1697s | this is all before life occurs |
| 1699s | self-replicating polymers what all of |
| 1703s | that has to be in place and you have to |
| 1705s | have the right conditions for all of |
| 1707s | that to happen and these are |
| 1710s | stromatolites and I have an order on |
| 1712s | amazon.com to have a couple that's |
| 1715s | dramatic light dependence because this |
| 1717s | is awesome this is the oldest living or |
| 1721s | the oldest fossil evidence we have as |
| 1723s | 3.7 billion years ago so life got |
| 1726s | started very early and in abiogenesis |
| 1730s | life came from rocks basically but this |
| 1735s | is a rock that came from life because |
| 1738s | these little cells poop out rock and |
| 1740s | this is a basically so poop that's there |
| 1744s | and these rocks are very sturdy they |
| 1747s | last 327 billion years to do that so we |
| 1750s | live on this giant Tree of Life |
| 1753s | there's two basic branches and one of |
| 1756s | the branch breaks off in the two and |
| 1758s | then it breaks down even farther this is |
| 1760s | a good chart but I like this one better |
| 1762s | I love this chart because this chart is |
| 1766s | is the oldest is in the middle and today |
| 1769s | is on that outer edge and this one we |
| 1772s | talked about we are all related this |
| 1774s | goes down to that first point and guess |
| 1776s | what we have a name for that grandmother |
| 1779s | that first cell that split is called |
| 1782s | Luca Luca is the last common last |
| 1787s | Universal common ancestor that is the |
| 1791s | first cell on earth and for that cell to |
| 1794s | actually start that's when a biogenesis |
| 1797s | occurs but it life did not just pop up |
| 1800s | on the earth all of a sudden it took a |
| 1802s | long time to percolate now you remember |
| 1804s | remember the population chart I showed |
| 1806s | you this is a different one but it's |
| 1808s | kind of same thing life was very simple |
| 1811s | for a four billion years it was rkn life |
| 1814s | forms of protozoic life forms and then |
| 1816s | all of a sudden came trust yes a Chevys |
| 1825s | eventually life creates a Chevy truck so |
| 1832s | so people are trying to work on this |
| 1834s | equation the rare the rare earth |
| 1836s | equation in this equation is again more |
| 1839s | of those things that you need to create |
| 1842s | life you know the right distance from |
| 1844s | the star the mass of the star the stable |
| 1846s | planetary orbits you kind of need a |
| 1848s | Jupiter and there's reasons for that I'm |
| 1850s | not going to tell you at all you can |
| 1851s | search this on the internet and learn |
| 1853s | more I really recommend you do that |
| 1855s | maybe Mars oceans large moons the right |
| 1859s | tilt you need all of these things |
| 1862s | together and so now that number from 200 |
| 1868s | billions so this is the key the fraction |
| 1874s | of planets were microbial life developed |
| 1876s | we are the only example of success we |
| 1881s | are simply unaware how unique and truly |
| 1885s | special we are we are anthropocentric |
| 1888s | bias clouds our view it's really key |
| 1893s | this is a great video professor David |
| 1895s | kipping look for are we alone a lot of |
| 1899s | his talk inspired me to do this |
| 1901s | presentation |
| 1901s | check out his presentation he'll explain |
| 1904s | it in different ways and so oh okay now |
| 1912s | I'm gonna take you on a NASA video that |
| 1914s | is Andromeda it's the closest galaxy to |
| 1918s | us and that galaxy we've been able to |
| 1922s | use the Hubble telescope and take a |
| 1924s | quarter of that galaxy and zoom in on it |
| 1928s | now when we zoom in on this galaxy and |
| 1931s | go in what you're going to see is every |
| 1935s | that you see the big dots the big dots |
| 1937s | are the Milky Way because you're looking |
| 1938s | through a dirty windshield so when you |
| 1940s | see the big dots just know that's in our |
| 1943s | galaxy but all those little little dots |
| 1948s | four hundred billion stars |
| 1951s | four hundred it's the Andromeda is |
| 1955s | bigger than Milky Way it's it's a big |
| 1956s | galaxy and we're on a collision course |
| 1958s | we're gonna merge with Andromeda |
| 1960s | some days tomorrow maybe and so that |
| 1967s | might be an error so again the the large |
| 1970s | stars you see that those are Milky Way |
| 1973s | stars the little stars are the |
| 1975s | population of the Andromeda galaxy this |
| 1981s | is the statistics this is the statistics |
| 1984s | that makes us feel like with all those |
| 1986s | stars there's got to be life out there |
| 1992s | but the same statistics shows that you |
| 1996s | could roll a die on every one of those |
| 1999s | planets |
| 1999s | around every one of those stars and |
| 2003s | abiogenesis maybe only one it could be |
| 2008s | that rare astronomy is a humbling and |
| 2012s | character-building experience to me it |
| 2015s | underscores our responsibility to be |
| 2017s | kinder to each other and that is scary |
| 2020s | it is frightening but if you use your |
| 2023s | mind if you use your intellect you don't |
| 2026s | need to be frightened but I don't have I |
| 2032s | don't have I don't feel frightened by |
| 2034s | not knowing things by being lost in a |
| 2038s | mysterious universe without having any |
| 2040s | purpose which is the way it really is as |
| 2042s | far as I can tell possibly it doesn't |
| 2044s | frighten so where is everybody Fermi |
| 2049s | asked it's possible we live in a totally |
| 2053s | crowded universe it's absolutely |
| 2056s | possible I really recommend you go to |
| 2060s | youtube and just search for answers to |
| 2062s | the Fermi paradox there is some really |
| 2064s | funny and some stupid and some valid |
| 2068s | points out there I mean answers to de |
| 2071s | Fermi paradox somebody said well this is |
| 2074s | all a simulation in a computer so that's |
| 2077s | why yeah right no there's there's a lot |
| 2082s | on that one so so check that out look |
| 2085s | for answers to the Fermi paradox because |
| 2087s | that there's a lot of talks out there |
| 2090s | there's actually a hundred and fifty 180 |
| 2093s | some answers that people have come up |
| 2095s | and some are actually valid |
| 2097s | so consider that it's also possible that |
| 2101s | abiogenesis is almost improbable but we |
| 2105s | know it happened once we know what |
| 2108s | happened well I'm sitting up here right |
| 2110s | look I'm proof we may be alone in New |
| 2115s | Eden so where is everybody the |
| 2118s | intellectual answer that I give because |
| 2120s | you know I work for NASA and people ask |
| 2122s | me this all the time the real answer is |
| 2125s | we don't know we really don't know and |
| 2129s | in eve evil always has and always will |
| 2132s | be the story |
| 2133s | humans making humans Hillians are not |
| 2136s | needed there's the Falcon nebula but you |
| 2142s | know what it should be a thing it's a |
| 2146s | good thing we just may be alone in New |
| 2151s | Eden we may be alone in the Milky Way |
| 2153s | galaxy but you know what |
| 2163s | pull it together I'm not alone I'm not |
| 2169s | alone |
| 2172s | we're not alone we have each other |
| 2188s | [Applause] |
| 2195s | [Applause] |
| 2207s | [Laughter] |
| 2212s | [Applause] |
| 2217s | we're not alone go after Michael mail |
| 2222s | I'll see you later |
| 2228s | hi this is Charles Wyden I got a little |
| 2232s | choked up at the end of that video and |
| 2235s | the reason is is because I was looking |
| 2238s | right into the faces of about 300 of my |
| 2240s | fellow players an EVE Online and they |
| 2243s | knew instantly what I was trying to say |
| 2245s | Eve is a very special community we have |
| 2249s | so many charities for worldwide |
| 2252s | disasters we celebrate when players have |
| 2256s | newborn children we memorialize their |
| 2259s | death and we are a community so when I |
| 2264s | said we could be alone in the universe |
| 2266s | and then I said I'm not alone everybody |
| 2270s | instantly gave me that look like no |
| 2273s | we're not alone it's the best community |
| 2276s | in the gaming world so thank you and |
| 2279s | sorry for that sorry for walking off the |
| 2281s | stage I really wish I could have stayed |
| 2283s | and answered more questions but you guys |
| 2285s | got to me thanks |
| 2291s | you |
| 2293s | you |