over 2 years ago - EVE Online - Direct link

Transcript (by Youtube)


0s how y'all doing
7s what is stage
9s i told tcp they didn't have to do the
10s whole jita 4 thing just for me but then
12s they insisted so welcome to my house
17s this is what i do all day
19s trading
21s when they finally remodeled the station
24s i finally had something else to look at
25s because i don't undock so this is all i
27s see all day
31s all right so we're talking about trading
34s trust and trillions today
37s if
38s you don't know what i do i'm oz i
40s run eve's largest public investment fund
44s and that in itself shouldn't really be a
46s thing because
47s in eve you know you shouldn't be
48s trusting anyone especially not with your
50s isc but for some reason i was able to
52s convince a whole bunch of people to hand
54s me a lot of isk and i invested in the
56s gita market so for the next 45 minutes
59s i'm going to share a few stories uh
62s strategies and
64s internal things i do in eve online we'll
67s talk about how i built that trust
70s how i
71s get these these people to to hand me
73s their money
74s um
76s how i then take that money and invest it
77s in the markets
79s i'll share a little bit of the lessons
80s learned that i've um you know gathered
82s over the the last few years creating
84s content and uh and streaming eve online
87s and then if we have some time we should
88s have time like five minutes for a few
90s questions um uh if uh if if you'd like
94s otherwise there's a round table at um
97s i think 4 p.m in one of the breakout
99s rooms so if you want to come chat about
101s everything that we talk about here then
103s come find us there ccp psych and myself
106s are going to be there uh hanging out
108s all right
109s so i'm i'm oz i've been uh playing eve
112s since 2004.
114s i was already out of college uh in 2004
117s so
118s by that you can calculate that i'm
120s really
121s old
123s um i i was in finance back then i i was
126s trading
127s in stocks
129s i i got a business degree and so from
131s day one i was into markets and trading
134s in eve online and
136s that part of eve online is really what
139s what i think is very unique
141s and that i can't find in any other game
143s this this player driven economy this
146s ability to actually trade to influence
148s the market uh very realistically it's um
152s it's just something that keeps me coming
153s back to eve online and um
155s and absolutely love it
157s i became a twitch streamer in 2019
160s um and um you know i before that i
164s didn't even know what twitch was
166s but i realized that i could um share the
168s fairly unique play style that i uh that
170s i have and the tools that i have on on
172s twitch with my my viewership so i became
174s an uh an eve partner um and my guides on
178s trading are used in the eve academy so
180s i'm very very glad that um some of the
183s the tools and content that i produce are
185s um are being made uh you know accessible
188s for for the community and i'm
190s getting some
191s attention to a play style that's just
193s not very
194s uh i think not not not played by a by a
197s large percentage of the player base
199s i have a discord server of a whole bunch
201s of trading uh nerds and eve uh if you
204s google that i'm sure you'll find it uh
205s come come join 3 000 of us on on there
209s and i as i said i run the largest
211s investment fund in
212s in eve so
214s that's what we're going to be talking
216s about today quick disclaimer before i
218s jump on that
219s if you can't tell by the funny accent i
221s am german right so
223s just to manage expectations
225s there will be no jokes but we'll
227s probably finish on time all right so
229s bear with me
233s the motivation behind everything i do
236s is
237s threefold one
238s is
239s we're playing a sandbox all of us are
241s playing a sandbox and in a sandbox per
243s definition you should be able to do
245s almost anything that you want to do so
247s for me gaming competitive gaming meant i
250s wanted to be the best at something and
252s being all just means i can't keep up in
254s pvp
255s all right so what i can do is i can
258s spend some time creating amazing
260s spreadsheets um i can eke out an
263s advantage in the market and so that is
266s my way of creating something that
268s matters and that would that's what gives
270s back or motivates me every day to play
272s eve online
274s two i spend a lot of time
276s sharing or making tools for eve online
280s and that for the first few years maybe
283s that's a lot of fun and you can make a
285s lot of money in the market and it's
286s great
287s but after a while it just you know if
289s you're not if you're not telling anyone
290s and you're not sharing that experience
292s it just becomes kind of kind of kind of
293s planned so that's uh
295s one big motivation for me as well is to
297s go out there and share everything that
299s i've created and then
301s as i said earlier my playstyle is fairly
304s unique i don't leave the station i just
306s station trade i have a i have a lot of
308s capital to play with i uh play with the
311s market sometimes i manipulate the
313s markets
314s not gonna lie and
317s that is a playstyle that i want to
319s showcase because
320s it's it's out there i can't get it from
322s any other game right and i want
325s for one people to see it but also ccp to
328s see it you know for for for them to know
330s that there are people out there like us
333s that are playing the game in a way that
334s might not be the most obvious one
336s but is a very very important one to um a
340s a small but but important part of the
342s player base all right
345s so first of all
347s building trust so i said in the
350s beginning i run an investment fund i
352s have around four trillion isk that i
354s manage for about 500 investors and
357s that in itself shouldn't be possible in
359s eve online you shouldn't trust anyone
361s with you ask what are you guys doing why
363s are you giving me your money right like
365s this this should not be happening but
367s for some reason i was able to do that
369s and
370s there's three there's three reasons why
372s that works for one
374s i i put a face to the name right i i go
377s out there on saturdays on on twitch and
380s a lot of you have have seen my face uh
382s out there um
384s you know i uh i i i show i show you guys
388s my i talk about my motivations i i tell
390s tell you what to do and it's very very
393s or it's a lot more difficult to run away
394s with the money if you show your face all
396s the time and everyone knows what you
398s looks like right that's that's just
400s just just the general true truth
403s second of all
404s from from day one of this operation that
407s started about three years ago i
409s i'm sharing all my trade secrets that i
411s used to make money with so i am taking
414s away the whole amount of motivation that
416s you could think why i should be running
417s away with that money
420s by showing you all of the top
423s profitable items by sharing all my tools
425s but all of that so i have convinced
427s people that i'm just a generally nice a
430s genuinely nice guy and i don't need to
432s make isk right at least people believe
435s that it's it's true
437s trust me
439s um and then again it's not economically
442s feasible for me to run away with the
443s money because it's uh by now i i have a
446s little bit of a reputation um in in the
449s community i make you know
451s nobody's getting rich of a content
453s creation in e4 like there's one or two
455s people that can maybe live of it but
457s nobody's getting rich so i'm not getting
458s rich but it's at least enough for me not
461s to run away with the money because the
462s reputation that i've made is kind of
464s kind of beneficial to me
467s so putting a face the name as i said i i
469s stream on twitch so people know what i
470s look like
472s it's it's accountability it's building
473s up the first trust of course sometimes
475s it helps when people like hilmar
478s share my content and say
480s this is really good
482s i mean you know this is the guy with the
484s 20 swords that you saw
486s yesterday if he says it's good how bad
488s can it be you know this guy is not going
490s to run away with the money
493s the second part sharing secrets so
496s something i do um for example is every
499s year i show what the most profitable
501s items uh of in in trading were for me in
504s in that year right that's that would be
506s the number one rule of um uh that that
509s most traders will will not will not do
511s if they're if what their goal is is to
513s make money
514s it's really not that big of a deal but
516s it's a big like symbolic step right
518s and then more importantly maybe i have
521s created a together with with the
524s community i've created a a community
526s version of my trading spreadsheet that
528s will track your profits that will look
530s at your portfolio that will tell you
532s which items to buy currently
534s which items to sell on a technical
536s analysis basis right and
539s this tool is out there for download
541s thousands of people have downloaded it
543s you all can use it it's
545s it's free we maintain it a little bit
547s it's got an instruction in it so
550s the biggest hurdle for a lot of people
552s to go into station trading is
554s they know that they can't do it if they
556s don't know how to spreadsheet
558s be a spreadsheet warrior right
561s now the excel and implementation the
563s excel integration that we saw yesterday
565s is going to help sure uh in in breaking
568s down that barrier but until then you
570s have my spreadsheet to kind of
571s guide you in that world and most people
573s will start using that
575s and then move on to doing developing
577s their own tools or um
579s or or maybe even not maybe even just
581s continue doing that but they can station
583s trade without having that huge barrier
586s uh of of you know macros and and
589s javascript in front of them
592s um
595s i also talk about skill farming and
596s skill farming you know if you talk to
599s people in the in the communities it's
601s it's something that's a little bit
602s pushed to the side nobody really wants
604s to talk about it because it's like it's
605s it's a
607s it's it's a fairly unnatural play style
609s i would say it's not even a play style
610s it's a way for people to make money but
613s it's legal it's there people are doing
615s it and people are making a lot of money
616s with it and so
617s what
618s what i do to build trust
620s is i democratize that information right
623s so when i uh
625s when i started doing this investment
627s fund three years ago
628s i noticed that a lot of people were
630s talking on the on the down somebody is
632s all of a sudden selling you know
633s hundreds of skill injectors how did you
634s get them how does that work so
637s i show
638s what you need to do to set that up and i
641s show in my spreadsheet that i share
644s every week what the current profit is
647s that people are making of skill
648s injectors right and it's it's it's
650s complicated et cetera et cetera i'm not
652s going to go into that but it's something
653s that i think should be out there in the
655s community because any time you have
658s you know if a a
659s small amount of players um
662s making a lot of money by a very
664s by something that i that that i think is
667s is more of an natural play style then i
669s want to at least let everyone know that
671s this exists because
672s this impacts the economy in a very
675s in a very significant and large way and
678s so that information needs to be out
680s there
682s and then this is
683s less about sharing secrets more about
686s again the democratization of data in eve
689s this is the tranquility trading tower
691s now if you're you know most of you are
693s are
694s more or less hardcore eve players if
696s you're if you've made it all the way to
697s iceland now right so you know what the
698s trading tower is
700s it's that
701s that that player run station that is one
703s jump from jita in perimeter
707s that um houses most of the
710s plex and large skill injector um trade
713s and used to house most of the buy orders
715s because um the the the discrepancy
718s between the fees on in npc stations
721s versus player owned stations used to be
724s very significant it's not like that
725s anymore but still they're making a lot
727s of money a few years ago
729s the tranquility trading tower
731s um was making trillions and the parties
734s that are sharing that were sharing this
736s money they were all at war with each
738s other right so this was like an unspoken
740s secret everybody knew was kind of
741s funding the war but
743s everyone was fighting each other
745s on
746s in the world which you know they they
747s really were but then they were funding
749s the war by having a common um operation
752s so what i wanted to do is again i wanted
754s to go in and i wanted to show that this
756s is happening and i want to show that
758s this is the amount of money that is
759s coming out of there i'm not i'm not even
761s saying it's a bad thing i'm just saying
762s hey good on you you're making a lot of
763s money but people should know
765s and i put that out there now the the
767s real number really says that number is
769s more like 1.5 trillion not 2.2 trillion
771s but you know
773s it's a lot of money so
774s um i do stuff like that to
778s to to to kind of it's kind of like data
780s journalism for for eve online and that
782s again
783s in turn it builds trust it shows people
785s that i am
786s more or less on the on the side of the
788s people on the side of the community
790s and trying to
792s make sure that that information is out
793s there
796s and then you know reputation i said
798s nobody's getting rich of eve but
800s certainly there's there's you know if
802s you are a streamer and if you're um
804s halfway successful then you're making
806s money here and there and so for me it's
808s just not economically feasible to run
810s away with this money yeah
812s it's not big enough so
816s 4 trillion isk is a lot of money right
819s and you will you will hear a lot of
821s people
822s that are talking about rois in the
824s uh
824s in the in the eve markets and they would
826s say yeah i mean i i doubled my my isc
828s last week
830s this is these are people that are not
832s investing trillions all right if you're
834s investing trillions in the market your
836s options are much more limited because
840s you're you you have limiting factors
842s such as
844s such as risk overall because you have a
846s significant portion of the market or or
848s time complications so
850s it's it's kind of complicated to to
853s invest 4 trillion and so and it's
854s actually a lot of work so i have devised
856s some strategies and some tools to make
859s that whole process
861s easier and more enjoyable because in the
863s end
864s it's a game for me as well i i need to
866s have some fun right
867s so as i said
870s you we're talking about very very large
872s scale investing here um and so low
875s volume high margin items are not what we
877s what we can invest in here this is not
879s this is not you know where you go and
881s you you look at
883s you know this this this module that that
885s has 10 million isk a day turnover that's
888s not going to help you at all right
890s you need to value the actual time that
893s you're that you're investing in the
895s markets just like you have to value the
897s time you spend mining now i know the
900s people are out there that think my
901s minerals the minerals are mine are free
904s right they're my natural enemy in the
905s eve habitat right
908s if you think that um
912s you have a problem all right because
913s you're you're you're going to
916s not make economically rational decisions
918s and that's going to not allow me to
920s predict what you're making because
921s you're not acting rationally so um so
924s it's fine of course it's fine but just
926s know you're creating problems all right
928s on the data side
931s speaking of data i'm gonna this is the
932s only slide that has math i promise right
937s however if you're mathematically
939s challenged this whole this whole thing
940s is going to be like an apple battle for
941s you right so my fund has four trillion
944s isk okay
946s easy enough
948s as i said there's two restrictions
950s one is time
952s right i want to actually limit
955s the amount of time i spend running the
958s fund because i have a life right and
959s this is not a job at least not yet right
962s so i say arbitrarily which is very close
965s to the truth i want to only handle 200
969s items in e49 right
971s now that's for some of you that's going
972s to mean something for others i'll show
974s you what that means in a second all
975s right so that's one restriction time
977s it's limited two
980s risk
981s right and that has that's multi-faceted
983s because
984s for one i need to diversify anyone who
986s knows that right
987s like anyone that's investing anywhere
989s knows you need to diversify right even
991s if you don't know what that means you've
993s heard that before right you need to
994s diversify so
996s if i put that into math in here
998s for example
1001s i don't want to have an insane amount of
1003s items
1004s but i'm limiting the maximum number and
1007s i'm i want to limit the amount of trade
1009s days that i'm actually holding of a
1011s certain item
1012s right and what i mean by trade days is
1015s i can look at the amount of sell orders
1018s available in the forge like the region
1020s where jetta is in
1022s and i can
1023s look at how much i'm holding and i can
1025s say
1026s if i take the daily volume times five
1028s that's the maximum amount i want to hold
1030s you know why because
1033s stuff happens in eve like patches right
1035s people
1037s rotary sometimes
1038s don't know if you're out here right but
1039s sometimes you decide we're going to
1042s uh
1043s double the amount of ice in the game or
1045s we're going to double the amount of
1049s moon material right prosperity right
1053s for me that's a problem because then
1054s immediately i need to liquidate a lot of
1056s stuff if i if i'm holding way more than
1058s five trade days this is a serious issue
1060s because i i can't liquidate that's why
1062s i've i've recently lost a lot of money
1063s on all of this mumbo stuff that's why
1065s i'm still bitter
1067s i'm sure you can't tell
1071s so simple math again 400 4 trillion is
1074s 200 items that's means 20 billion per
1077s item roughly on average right
1079s if i take the 20 billion and i divide
1082s that by the five trade days that i just
1084s explained then that means
1086s i can really only trade in items
1089s that have a daily trade volume of four
1092s billion or more
1093s right so the the total trade that is
1096s happening every day in in the forge
1099s should be at least four trillion right
1101s now
1102s to me that means the world to you you're
1103s sitting here like i don't know what that
1105s means right so let me show you pictures
1107s pictures there are 40 000 items in eve
1110s online
1112s there are a few more but a lot of them
1113s aren't active et cetera et cetera right
1115s [Music]
1116s 40 thousand
1118s if you
1120s break that down and say i only want to
1121s look at the items that have a trade
1123s volume of over 1 billion isk
1126s every day in the forge
1128s you're already cutting that down to only
1130s 1 500 items that's not a lot right
1133s if i'm then breaking that down into the
1135s items that have five billion or more is
1138s traded a day we're only talking about
1140s 400 items and you remember how i wanted
1143s to trade in 200 items um i'm i'm
1147s by by that definition it's about you
1149s know half of those items that i'm going
1150s to invest in so it's actually quite
1152s small the amount of items that i can
1153s invest in
1157s what's in that little
1159s yellow box
1160s right if you do market trading you know
1162s this right but
1163s um i'll give you some examples of what's
1166s in there most of that is flex and skill
1167s injectors right
1169s splax and skill injectors are a huge
1172s part of the daily trade volume in eve
1174s online right
1176s and the problem with investing in those
1178s is that
1178s the stuff that impacts the plex prices
1181s and skill injector prices is mostly
1183s stuff that happens outside of the game
1185s so
1186s this is not this is not
1188s this is sometimes a little bit impact
1190s about what players do but this is much
1192s more impacted by by sales right this is
1195s impacted by
1196s you know
1197s crises that we're seeing in the world
1199s right now this is uh you know sometimes
1202s ccp decides to raise prices actually
1204s they've only decided to do that once but
1206s they
1207s did that last week or two weeks ago and
1208s they made it they made the price for
1210s plex and skill injector spike right so
1211s this is stuff where you got to be very
1213s careful you got to know
1215s uh you can't know but you've got to be
1217s reacting very quickly when there's
1219s public announcements
1220s moon materials backbone of tier 2
1223s production obviously very very very high
1225s volume
1226s ice and fuel blocks certainly basic
1229s minerals
1230s salvage materials
1232s not all of them just like two or three
1233s of them are actually of a good volume
1235s that you want to trade in however very
1238s cyclical and
1239s you know it's stuff that people loot and
1241s then sell on the market
1243s so it's very easy to acquire so it's one
1245s of my favorites
1247s planetary commodities
1249s used to be very relevant in terms of um
1253s implant production but now also in you
1256s know factorships capitals there's been a
1258s lot of
1259s fluctuation around the use of planetary
1261s commodities
1263s ships are interesting because
1265s when people start trading a lot of a lot
1267s of people are like oh i'm gonna you know
1268s buy a bunch of ships and then sell them
1270s later for higher cost because
1272s it seems like people are under the
1274s wrong impression that the price of a
1276s ship has something to do with its
1278s popularity that's i think the biggest
1279s misconception of people trading in eve
1282s online because people are saying oh look
1283s the produce it got
1286s buffed a couple of weeks ago so i'm
1288s going to buy a whole bunch of pro pro ti
1291s i don't know proteuses
1293s and i'm going to get rich but that's not
1295s what happens in eve online what happens
1296s is like yeah sure it's the price of that
1298s proteus is going to maybe spike for a
1300s day or two because some people can't
1302s wait but then production is going to
1304s producers are going to move in they're
1306s going to reduce that margin again and
1308s the price is going to drop
1310s prices for ships are governed by raw
1312s materials and as long as raw materials
1314s doesn't change or the availability of
1315s raw materials doesn't change
1317s the equilibrium price of that ship is
1319s not going to change so ships are
1320s actually not something that i invest in
1322s a lot
1323s structures yeah but um you know they're
1326s they're they're very big so it's kind of
1328s clunky so you you trade more more
1331s through contracts which makes it very
1333s difficult implants
1336s faction and dead space modules actually
1338s are are a fantastic trade item
1341s they again they're looted by an activity
1343s that a lot of people do in game they're
1345s worth a lot
1346s and people
1348s love to buy them
1350s to use in their ships so that's actually
1352s a
1353s a very very efficient trade item that
1356s you can make a lot of money with
1357s insignias and abyssal filaments are
1359s among my favorites as well but you know
1361s i'm not going to go into into each one
1363s of them so if we break that down by
1365s trade volume we say okay
1367s what what does the overall
1370s gita or forge market look like
1372s daily we have about 14 trillion isk uh
1375s exchanging hands in in the
1377s in the in the forge market okay
1380s 23 of that is actual plex so if a
1383s quarter of all isk that is being moved
1385s in the forge is plex transactions so you
1387s can't really get around it if you're a
1390s large scale investing you really can't
1392s get around investing in plex
1394s another 16 is skill injectors and then
1398s ships are 10 and then you already have
1400s skill extractors so you can see that
1401s almost half of that pie is
1405s real money
1406s adjacent
1408s products i guess
1411s modules seven percent and then there's a
1412s whole bunch of other like small stuff
1415s the other 30 is so big because you have
1417s stuff like blue loot red loot that is
1419s not really trade it's just you know
1421s people doing stuff in game bringing it
1423s to jita and then selling it to npc buy
1425s orders that's not really trading right
1429s if we look at ship types specifically
1432s that's just a you know just a for your
1434s information because it's a nice graph
1436s if you look at the the ships that are
1438s traded in eve online
1441s so that's basically all sub caps and
1443s freighters above that it's you know
1445s again it's too clunky to trade in in in
1447s high sec
1449s then
1450s 40 of that is battleships okay that to
1453s me that's always a surprising number
1454s this is this is not item uh numbers but
1458s this is you know isk value so that you
1460s know that that explains it a little bit
1463s uh battlecruisers are only six percent
1465s cruisers are 20 very very popular um
1468s right a lot of that is one ship i'll ask
1471s you about that in a second
1473s um
1474s and then again you have a whole bunch of
1475s small stuff and then you know freighters
1477s seven percent jump freighters 10 that's
1479s kind of significant but that's just
1480s because they're
1481s very very expensive right now right
1484s so let me give you a little pop quiz
1485s right now uh on the on the battleships
1488s what do you think is the number one
1492s most
1493s traded battleship by value not so by
1496s overall trade volume not by item anyone
1498s want to take a guess
1501s sorry
1504s varga i heard le shark and you said
1507s the rattlesnake yeah it's probably good
1509s um just by price alone right now it's
1512s the marauders winning out because
1513s they're just so expensive
1516s um so the paladin the varga and the
1517s golem are actually one two and three by
1519s trade volume
1521s um for battle cruises it's the dracovac
1524s the the drake navy issue in the noses on
1526s the cruiser um
1530s yeah i actually won a beer yesterday in
1532s the security panel because i said what's
1533s the the they asked the same question
1535s about what's the most uh popular cruiser
1538s among boughters and that was also the
1540s gila right
1544s and the ishtar and the tengu right those
1546s are the the most popular ships
1548s so
1550s that's the backdrop
1553s against which i am investing so those
1555s are the items that are that are relevant
1557s at all i i call these relevant trade
1559s items because i have to kind of take
1561s these 40 000 items and put them into a
1564s manageable
1566s sandbox to to play with
1568s i've created a custom trading tool
1570s um to help me cut the time down that i
1574s actually spent doing all of this because
1576s i could i could be trading all day but i
1578s just i just can't right so what i've
1580s created is what i call the dashboard to
1582s rule them all right this is the
1585s this is the the bloomberg terminal
1587s version of eve online trading right
1589s um
1590s i have done all of this without the
1592s excel integration that was presented
1594s yesterday um i actually don't need don't
1596s need that i have a lot of
1600s friends and i have a lot of knowledge
1602s about taking all the data from the api
1605s and putting it into spreadsheets
1607s so what you see here is
1610s the dashboard that tells me every day
1612s which item category that i just talked
1614s about is moving in which direction which
1617s item category is trading at which
1619s percentage of
1621s the 52-week trading volume so compared
1623s to yearly trading volume and also price
1627s and also it looks at that availability
1629s it says okay which items or item
1632s categories are currently scarce on the
1634s market and which ones are abundant and
1638s that means that i can see
1640s you know shortages coming i can see
1643s which items are currently flooding the
1645s market and might be cheap to pick up
1647s and then last but not least also i also
1649s look at the the daily trade volume in
1651s each of the categories right up until
1653s here it's all just dashboard information
1656s which is very i mean this information is
1658s very important because it allows you to
1660s make quick decisions but this in itself
1662s is not a trading tool yet what makes it
1664s an amazing trading tool
1667s is the querying that i can do with it so
1669s what i do is
1672s i have a a little query and this is the
1674s reason this is not
1675s it doesn't have a good ui is because i'm
1677s the only one using it right this is not
1678s something that i'm giving to people so
1680s if you're wondering his scratches are
1681s really ugly i i use them just myself
1685s and
1686s what that says in the top left corner
1687s there is
1689s i'm looking for items that are trading
1691s at 90
1693s 52 week average so these are items that
1695s are trading at least
1696s 10 below what the item was trading all
1700s year
1701s i want items that are trading above 100
1704s volume so it's items that are hot that
1706s are trading right now at a higher volume
1708s than usual i want items that
1711s have less than five trade days available
1714s in the market so kind of scarce items
1716s and
1717s i could reduce it by by category but in
1720s this case i didn't and then i want items
1722s that have a trend above zero and that
1724s just means i want items that are trading
1726s higher today
1727s than they were trading yesterday
1729s now this all seems very theoretical but
1732s what this does is it cuts
1734s two or three hours of work or maybe
1737s impossible work down to about three
1739s seconds that i can do every day and i
1741s have about five of these queries where
1743s then i get an output like this and this
1745s table right there
1746s when just went through all of the
1748s relevant trade items in eve
1750s and
1751s gives a nice neat little list that tells
1754s me okay what's the item how much does it
1757s trade actually on trading volume every
1759s day
1760s how is it in relation to the uh the
1763s average price volume and availability it
1765s color codes it nicely
1766s i can copy this and a lot of people
1768s don't know this but you can actually
1770s just paste it into the market browser in
1772s your in your station in in jita
1775s or whatever it is you're doing trading
1778s but if you're not doing in geeta you're
1779s really doing it wrong um
1781s so you paste that
1783s in the browser
1784s or in your in your market window you can
1786s go through some of those items are not
1788s going to be great because this tool only
1790s does technical analysis some of these
1791s items are going to not make sense to
1794s trade and because for example here we
1796s have you know minerals and the tool just
1798s says hey minerals are really cheap right
1800s now at least some of them are right
1802s and
1804s we know or at least you know if you're
1805s doing micro trading you know well yeah
1807s but you know we just had prosperity so
1810s you know a lot of the items were
1811s reintroduced back into the game from a
1813s scarcity phase so we actually have um
1816s reasons why these are trading very
1817s cheaply
1819s but
1820s this again
1821s this is an this is this allows me to
1823s quickly look at these items
1825s [Music]
1826s there's very rarely
1828s uh does it happen that i don't have the
1830s biggest money makers of the day in this
1832s in this type of list right maybe not
1835s with these exact parameters but i play
1836s with them every day right
1839s eve wouldn't be eve and i couldn't do
1841s what i do in eve if there weren't just
1844s amazing third-party developers in this
1846s community right so i want to do some
1847s shout outs and i want to maybe inspire
1849s you if you're looking to either get into
1851s trading or you have a specific niche
1853s case that you want to use a tool for i
1856s want to mention some
1858s some some of a plethora of amazing tools
1861s right adam for eve dot eu is the closest
1865s thing to my trading tool that you're
1866s going to find in terms of a web tool so
1869s um if you don't know it absolutely
1871s amazing that he he's got a margin finder
1873s on there he's got a material influence
1876s tool where you can look at which items
1878s go into
1878s uh which uh
1881s finished goods uh and um how big the
1884s trade value of these finished goods is
1886s uh he has a dashboard just like just
1888s like mine kind of like mine which you
1890s can tweak a little bit to your to your
1891s liking so adam for eve best overall tool
1894s chief assets is a java based application
1896s that i'm sure a lot of you use for
1898s character management
1900s you can look at your assets transactions
1902s the nice thing about that is you can't
1904s you know you can use it to find assets
1906s that you thought were lost like you'd be
1907s amazed how many assets you might have
1909s across space that you didn't know about
1911s but you can also copy that out to
1913s spreadsheets if you want to do
1914s additional work with it fuzzwork a lot
1916s of you guys know that probably because
1918s of the lp
1919s tool that that he's got on the website
1921s but also he's got an api for market data
1923s so that's how i can
1925s draw a lot of the market data into my my
1927s spreadsheets
1930s mocam.dk is a tool that actually came
1933s out of our community because
1936s for the longest time
1937s from the eve api you can only get
1939s current market data you can't get
1941s historical data so if you want to do
1942s what i do with the comparison against
1944s yearly averages and monthly averages and
1946s that sort of stuff then you need
1949s historic market data and so
1952s mocam is a person from our community who
1954s created a tool that lets you draw a
1958s whole bunch of kpis
1960s that he calculates based on the data
1962s that is available from
1964s from from ccp and i i couldn't do my
1966s spreadsheets without that
1969s and then eve cookbook.com
1972s fantastic site if you want to know
1974s what the blueprints take for each item
1978s so you can go in and
1980s look at currently right now look at not
1982s only what it's going to be now but also
1985s what is going to be on cc with the
1986s changes that are that are coming to to
1989s blueprints here very soon around the
1990s corner
1991s and the great thing about that is you
1993s can actually he's got an api where you
1995s can pull that data into your spreadsheet
1997s as well so what i what i do on my query
1999s one of the kpis that i can query on as
2001s well is compared to the build cost so i
2003s can do everything that i just showed you
2005s and then and then say and now show me
2007s the items that are like that but are
2009s trading below build cost and that's
2011s that's a real game changer because you
2013s know if you look at for example um you
2016s know capitals or or freighters in
2019s in the last few weeks were um or in the
2021s last few months where they were all
2023s trading below build costs and they were
2025s really a a good investment you know if
2027s they hadn't been changed back now but
2029s you know they were a very good
2030s investment
2031s and that's not possible without things
2033s like like eve cookbook
2037s so the last thing i want to tell you is
2039s some notable traits because i know you
2040s know this was a lot of
2042s spreadsheets
2044s data abstract concepts so what is that
2046s what does that mean in game what what do
2047s i actually do what are some notable
2049s traits um
2052s the plaques for good campaign was
2053s actually a a time
2056s where a lot of people
2058s that may have had historic characters
2060s uh used as an opportunity to liquidate a
2063s lot of skill points and get out of the
2064s game that way right in
2066s a way that you know a lot of a lot of
2069s very very old players that are that have
2071s not played the game in a long time what
2073s um what they want to do is they wait for
2075s plex for good campaign so they can
2077s donate the uh do something good with
2079s their plaques right
2081s in this case
2082s there were players that were donating a
2085s hundred thousand plex and more right i
2087s know at least one person that that did
2089s that was which is which is insane that's
2091s a large chunk of the the 500 000 uh that
2094s we that we saw yesterday um or that
2096s we've that we saw on the end of the plex
2098s for good campaign the problem those
2100s people have is they need to find
2102s find players to buy all these skill
2103s injectors from them right because who's
2105s got 500 billion lying around
2107s i do
2108s um
2109s and so it doesn't take long for those
2112s players to find me
2113s and
2114s i bought over 500 billion in skill
2117s injectors um
2119s during that time a few months ago
2121s not knowing that ccp would raise prices
2124s and thereby um
2126s making not only the plex price but also
2128s the large scale injector prices explode
2130s so that was probably the single most
2132s profitable trade that i've um that i've
2135s done in the last two years since running
2137s the fund so that um i bought them all at
2139s 590 and they're over 700 now so that's
2142s that was good but it's not all roses um
2145s it's it's also i i've also lost 150
2148s billion on on some of the um moon
2151s material crash because i was just too
2153s heavily in uh into moon materials and
2156s when ccp announced the
2159s the implementation of
2162s of compression for for moongu and then
2164s also within the same month
2166s basically
2167s increasing the amount of available moon
2170s or
2171s in the universe that just crashed prices
2173s uh they were
2175s the crash prices crashed too quickly for
2177s me to react and so i lost a lot of money
2179s in that
2180s and then this is more of a public
2182s service announcement because i'm always
2183s surprised that not everyone does this um
2186s so right now is capsuleer day right and
2188s everyone gets practice gnosis and
2190s sinesis right and
2192s if you're talking about anyone in
2194s trading it's very clear that when
2196s everyone gets something the prices just
2198s crash right so
2201s just by buying up all the practices
2203s gnosis and synesis in this week
2206s i made 20 billion last year right um
2210s apparently this is this is still not out
2212s there like i fully expect to not be able
2214s to do that anymore because i keep
2215s telling people you guys need to do that
2218s so this year i'm hoping that
2220s i'm hoping just as an experiment that
2222s the price drop isn't actually going to
2223s be that big because people anticipated
2225s and i've educated enough people so let's
2227s see if that experiment turns out but so
2229s far i've made out
2231s like like a bandit on those uh society
2233s of conscious thought ships
2235s which are amazing by the way
2237s all right
2239s i'll leave you with some lessons learned
2240s and then we'll do some q a if you guys
2242s want
2243s one
2244s this is a sandbox
2246s right you can
2247s no matter what your skills are you know
2249s you can find your niche and why wouldn't
2252s you if you want to why wouldn't you try
2254s to be the best at something right you
2255s don't have to go out and and shoot stuff
2257s if you if you don't want to you don't
2259s have to be in a large alliance or
2261s corporation i am neither of that i can't
2263s i can't i don't undock i can't do
2265s anything in eve i really this is all i
2267s do right but i can be the best at
2268s something or at least in some niche or
2270s at least be among the best right
2274s because the best ones aren't the ones up
2275s here talking about it then they're just
2277s quiet about it
2279s you can build trust and eve so this is
2281s this is big right because everyone's
2283s going to tell you it's not possible it
2285s is it's it's just a lot of work right
2287s and and not a lot of people um actually
2289s get to experience it but i'm i'm very
2291s privileged and privileged in in that
2293s respect and it's it's a lot of
2295s it's it's a lot of fun and i get a lot
2297s of enjoyment
2298s out of doing what i'm doing so i'm very
2299s happy that i get to do that
2302s and then thirdly
2305s i fully thought when i started this
2308s right that i would be ridiculed that
2311s you know the community would just say
2313s what like what
2314s how how dare how dare you and you know
2317s you can't you can't take people's
2319s like
2320s and and i got a little bit of that you
2322s know i got like five or six people but i
2324s got like a thousand people saying oh how
2326s cool you're doing something that other
2328s people aren't you know ccp was super
2330s supportive my stream is very successful
2333s so
2334s you know
2335s sometimes the community gets a bad rap
2337s on being you know very
2339s very you know very cutthroat or very you
2342s know mistrusting that's not the
2344s experience that i've had at all i've had
2346s a fantastic experience it's been a ton
2348s of fun and i'm just very thankful for
2351s you all for for this community um this
2353s is my first fan past and it it's just um
2357s it has solidified everything that my eve
2360s experience has been in the last few
2362s years being very active in this
2363s community so um thank you all for for
2366s that
2368s and so
2369s that's that's really is er it's it for
2372s for my presentation today um
2374s we'll we'll take a few questions i i
2376s honestly the number one question that
2378s i've already gotten um that i'm going to
2381s preempt before somebody asks is
2384s when are you going to run away with the
2385s money right because
2388s i'm sitting on all that money and i
2389s think i've already explained uh uh i
2392s i've explained why i'm not going to run
2394s away with the money um however
2399s if i would ever run away with the money
2400s this this moment right here would
2402s probably be the best because there's a
2404s lot of press here ccp is here there's a
2406s lot of you watching right and would be
2409s the most
2410s fun time for me to right now say
2413s i'm going to take all of your money and
2414s i don't know you know if i can't i can't
2416s really it would have to be a plex for
2418s good thing right um but today is not
2421s that day right but if if i get invited
2423s back next year to to do the 20 year
2425s anniversary maybe that's a good time to
2427s just liquidate everything and give it
2428s away all right so
2430s thank you guys um if you have questions
2432s let me know if not there's a round table
2434s at uh at 4 pm today yeah
2437s thank
2439s [Applause]
2445s yes so will i double his isk is the
2448s question so
2449s absolutely
2451s my return on investment is not nearly a
2454s hundred percent right and people don't
2456s expect that just because it's it's it's
2458s that big and i'm very transparent about
2460s what i do so isk doubling is not
2462s actually uh what i do but of course that
2465s is also a very popular question and
2467s typically my answer is uh yes of course
2468s just give me your money i'll double it
2471s um i'll share that in a second i see
2473s dunk at the uh at the at the mic there
2476s well first i just want to thank you for
2478s doing the show it's a great thing to
2479s watch while i'm doing my space work so i
2481s appreciate it thank you so my question
2483s uh i do a lot of industry work not as
2485s much trading so my spreadsheets all
2487s monitor the costs of things across the
2490s different hubs and in null sect that
2491s kind of thing and what i see from time
2493s to time
2494s are expensive ships t2 ships like hacks
2498s uh different expensive ships to make
2500s trading below the maximally optimal
2504s build cost and in significant numbers
2507s and multiple orders for that where it is
2509s now that is the default market price so
2512s i'd like to get your take on what you
2514s think is going on because
2516s suddenly
2517s i don't know how they make any i don't
2518s know what's going on there
2520s so my theory on that is
2522s um for one it's those people that don't
2525s value their own time and and resources
2527s so if
2528s um
2529s [Music]
2530s if theoretically let's say theoretically
2532s those were bought accounts mining right
2535s bot accounts if they if they no i'm not
2537s saying this is going on right
2539s um but if if the in an extreme case it's
2542s a bot account mining so they don't value
2544s the time they don't have to value the
2545s time because it doesn't exist right
2548s they have a very different price point
2550s right also you would be surprised at the
2553s amount of people i talk to that do
2554s industry just
2556s because they like doing industry so a
2558s lot of times what happens is
2561s people will
2562s will
2563s will not correctly track the cost of the
2565s raw material and also if you just look
2568s at it from a data perspective it might
2570s not be profitable but
2572s maybe their price point is completely
2574s different and you're saying i mean i
2576s know you do it on an industry scale
2577s right on an alliance scale i i know that
2580s but your price point might be even in
2582s your alliance might be way different
2585s from another alliance so i think in the
2587s end we're never going to know i think
2589s it's a mixture of price point and people
2591s not valuing their time i think there's i
2593s mean there are a ton of bad decisions
2597s being made economically speaking and eve
2599s online it's it's staggering like i i
2601s think the people making good economic
2603s decisions are definitely in the minority
2607s and i don't know if that's reflective of
2608s the real economy out there but uh it's
2611s you know i've i've given up trying to
2613s trying to assume that everyone makes
2615s good economic decisions
2619s on the topic of bots have you considered
2622s implementing a high frequency trading
2624s bot
2626s to automate your own work
2629s um
2631s so what the stuff i do is all
2634s already geared towards minimizing the
2636s amount of time that i spend and so the
2639s the time where i could optimize i guess
2641s is to
2642s to take that list and generate the input
2645s for a market order um
2647s automatically
2649s but
2650s my strategy and this is where i i'm very
2653s different from i think other station
2654s traders that i know and talk to is
2657s i don't i don't do you know i don't have
2659s 30 000 outstanding orders on 100
2662s accounts like that's not the stuff i i
2664s do that's what um people like eve trade
2667s does for example right
2669s i i have one or two accounts i have a
2672s few hundred orders i don't that's not
2673s what i do i i do strategic long-term
2676s investing and so
2678s for me actually i'm very close to the
2680s optimal way of trading my strategy of
2684s buy and hold right
2686s i can't optimize that in terms of
2689s um you know
2690s saying
2692s this is a spreadsheet that tells me
2693s exactly buy a hundred of this item today
2696s that wouldn't that wouldn't fit me with
2698s my strategy but that would be a smart
2700s thing to do for other people i don't
2701s know how you would have to be careful
2703s with the euler though right
2705s somebody asked about the roi um i'm i'm
2708s i'm much more
2709s so i used to be in the range of i have a
2712s smaller fund with uh more more high
2714s value items where i would reach around
2716s 20
2718s roi
2720s on a yearly basis not a monthly basis
2722s right and um and in in
2725s on on my large fund it's more you know
2727s like three four percent but these are
2729s people investing like 100 billion isk so
2731s i mean they're not doing anything with
2733s it
2734s and if if i'm just writing the market a
2735s little bit
2736s then they're happy
2739s is there a
2740s in-game item you wouldn't like to sell
2743s because you
2744s do like it a lot
2747s um that i wouldn't sell because i like
2749s it a lot
2750s yeah because you have it in your hunger
2753s your first chip or something like that
2755s ah all right i i do i do i'm um
2759s you know and again
2761s i'm gonna have to call out retardy again
2762s i don't know if you're here but the
2764s signal 25 needle jack filaments i have a
2766s real problem with them and
2768s those those trigger me every every
2770s single time because
2772s they were released to be like a very
2774s high value item back in the day right um
2778s and i bought almost the entire market of
2780s them i bought them at around
2783s 5 10 20 million a piece now i don't know
2786s if you know what they're trading at
2788s today but ccp very soon after the
2791s announcement that they're going to be
2792s very important and very great release
2795s them as a login item for everyone to
2796s have which is fantastic if you're
2798s holding half the universe of them right
2800s so i have a
2802s i have a humongous pile of worthless
2805s signal 25 needle jacks in there and now
2808s they've at least taken them off
2810s the login rewards again so actually
2813s their value has you know quadrupled
2816s probably since that happened but i will
2819s never ever get back to the 10 20 million
2821s so that's the item that i'm just on
2822s principle i'm never selling again
2824s because i'm just i'm just keeping it
2825s yeah
2827s all right
2828s 4 p.m uh is the round table if you want
2831s to talk uh uh no doubt about
2832s spreadsheets and everything i thank you
2834s all um so much only for for being here
2837s for for you know listening to my
2839s presentation um and please approach me
2842s if you have any questions would love to
2843s meet as many of you as possible right
2844s thank you guys so much