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EVE Online
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| 5s | [Applause] |
|---|---|
| 9s | hey everyone i am ccp estimate a |
| 12s | relatively new |
| 14s | employee at gcp only been here for three |
| 16s | months |
| 16s | but yeah i'm definitely part of the 64 |
| 19s | that hilmar mentioned yesterday but i'm |
| 22s | not new to eve online i've been playing |
| 24s | for the past 17 years on and off |
| 27s | and |
| 28s | i usually try and follow the discussion |
| 30s | that's going on on reddit and the forums |
| 33s | and yeah maybe put up the next step |
| 36s | and one of the main discussions there |
| 38s | has been the |
| 40s | dps system so i thought i would |
| 42s | investigate that a little bit and show |
| 44s | you some statistics on it so with the |
| 46s | main question did the dps or dynamic |
| 49s | pump this system ruin null check writing |
| 52s | so here we have a graph showing the |
| 55s | total daily bounty generated across all |
| 58s | of eve |
| 59s | we can immediately see the drop that |
| 61s | happened during the blackout period |
| 63s | where we saw a four |
| 65s | fold decrease in the total bounty |
| 67s | generated it recovered quite quickly but |
| 71s | not exactly to the levels it was before |
| 74s | and then we had the dynamic bounty |
| 76s | system period |
| 78s | where it dropped again nearly fifty |
| 80s | percent |
| 81s | so you can if we just look at this this |
| 84s | graph we can conclude that the dynamic |
| 86s | quantities and did indeed reduce |
| 90s | total bounty by a lot and maybe even |
| 92s | ruined writing but if we give ourselves |
| 95s | a little bit more historical context |
| 97s | we can see that the total amount of |
| 100s | bounty that's been generated in e1 line |
| 102s | now |
| 103s | is just the same as it was during the |
| 104s | period 2012 to 2016. |
| 107s | so this changes this perspective a bit |
| 110s | maybe |
| 111s | the period before the dynamic advantage |
| 113s | body system is the period of overpowered |
| 116s | bounty in |
| 118s | eve online but |
| 120s | let's focus on a period after the |
| 122s | blackout so zoom in on that period |
| 125s | and in the middle of the time frame we |
| 126s | have the release of the dps system |
| 129s | we can split this up even further by |
| 131s | security band and see that |
| 134s | most of the bounty is being generated in |
| 136s | nultrac the green area showing nullsack |
| 138s | the red area is showing high sec and the |
| 141s | purple area is showing low sec |
| 143s | what is interesting here is to see that |
| 146s | we actually have some activity in low |
| 147s | segment |
| 149s | after the release of the dps system |
| 152s | we see a three-fold increase in total |
| 154s | bounty some of it is of course due to |
| 157s | the fact that the bumpy risk modifier is |
| 159s | just increasing solar panty |
| 161s | but if we look at the number of kills or |
| 163s | npc kills in los ac that has increased |
| 166s | by 30 |
| 167s | in that period |
| 169s | but because the dynamic boundaries is |
| 170s | the mostly affected null sect let's just |
| 172s | focus on that |
| 174s | and let's look at how it's split now |
| 176s | between the main banks |
| 179s | the main pack auto payments which is the |
| 181s | payment you get from the main bank if |
| 183s | you're npc and |
| 185s | thefts of the main bank and we can see |
| 188s | that |
| 189s | main banks are not being robbed that |
| 191s | much in fact the probability of your |
| 193s | main bank being dropped is only about |
| 195s | about five percent |
| 197s | and now we also have a new risk source |
| 198s | which is |
| 199s | the reserve banks and those are sitting |
| 202s | at 50 billion a day now |
| 204s | but this only covers the total bounty |
| 207s | what about the distribution in eve |
| 211s | this graph shows |
| 213s | all of |
| 215s | all the |
| 216s | yeah all the systems |
| 219s | each |
| 220s | popular represents one system and the |
| 223s | size of the bubble is the amount of |
| 225s | bounty that's generated within that |
| 226s | system this is pre-dbs |
| 229s | we can see that there are two sections |
| 230s | within |
| 232s | the universe that are responsible for |
| 234s | most of the bounty generated |
| 236s | now if you take all these systems |
| 239s | and split them equally in equal package |
| 242s | of 100 |
| 244s | from the lowest |
| 247s | from those systems that generate the |
| 249s | lowest amount of bounty to those that |
| 250s | generate the highest amount of bonding |
| 252s | you can see that the top one percent of |
| 254s | systems |
| 255s | 33 systems generated 12.4 of the of all |
| 259s | the bounty that's 250 billion a day for |
| 263s | 33 systems |
| 265s | now after the release release of the dps |
| 267s | system we can actually see some activity |
| 270s | in the bottom fifty percent of systems |
| 272s | but the top one percent is still quite |
| 275s | high at eleven point seven percent so it |
| 277s | dropped it didn't drop the one percent |
| 279s | that much but the next fifteen percent |
| 281s | of systems those who are really affected |
| 284s | by the dps |
| 286s | now if we make this graph cumulative |
| 289s | in order to |
| 290s | see how many systems would need to |
| 292s | generate as much pump d as the top 1 |
| 295s | we can see before |
| 297s | the release of the dps system |
| 300s | we would need the bottom 72 percent of |
| 302s | systems to generate as much quantity as |
| 304s | the one percent |
| 306s | but after the release we're at 55 |
| 308s | percent |
| 310s | now i wanted to investigate this a |
| 312s | little bit further |
| 315s | here we're looking at how much bounty is |
| 318s | being generated by security status of |
| 320s | the system |
| 322s | i've adjusted for the number of systems |
| 324s | within each bucket |
| 326s | and we can |
| 328s | we can see that |
| 330s | it's go it's a downward slope there and |
| 332s | the main idea behind this graph is to |
| 334s | try and gain some insight on how much |
| 337s | better you're off in deep null stack |
| 339s | versus closer to height closer to low |
| 341s | sec |
| 342s | and we can see that you're about 10 |
| 344s | times better off in deep knowledge |
| 347s | but if we look at what happens after the |
| 349s | release of the dps system |
| 350s | now we are about two to three times |
| 352s | better off |
| 355s | now what is the correct factor here i |
| 357s | i'm not sure but |
| 359s | 10 sounds a bit off |
| 363s | now so far we have covered |
| 367s | the total bounty |
| 369s | and the distribution in the universe |
| 371s | what about the shift types affected by |
| 373s | the dps change |
| 376s | so here we have the dominance the total |
| 379s | bounty generated by the dominic's |
| 382s | it has decreased or started decreasing |
| 385s | prior to the dps release and we can see |
| 387s | it was slightly affected by the dps |
| 390s | release |
| 391s | but not not that much next we have the |
| 394s | rather snake |
| 396s | he was highly affected and i wonder if |
| 398s | people thought it was an over investment |
| 401s | ratting in a rather snake |
| 404s | next there are the two carriers |
| 407s | the thanatos and the neither curve |
| 409s | those are both heavily affected by the |
| 411s | dbs change |
| 416s | and then we have the super carriers |
| 421s | those both saw a huge |
| 424s | drop both during the surgical strike |
| 426s | patch which was april 2020 and also |
| 430s | during the dps release and then finally |
| 433s | we have the gila |
| 439s | and the ishtar |
| 444s | and currently easter is generating about |
| 447s | half of the of the bounty in nolsack |
| 452s | which i'm sure we would all like to see |
| 454s | a little more |
| 455s | diversity in the total in the ships used |
| 459s | but |
| 460s | if we now transition this graph to see |
| 462s | how many characters are behind this so |
| 464s | we transition it to total bounty per |
| 467s | character per day |
| 469s | here i'm trying to |
| 470s | mimic something |
| 472s | closely related to isk per hour but it's |
| 476s | not this per hour it's |
| 477s | per character per day |
| 480s | you can see that the hell and the nicks |
| 483s | they had their bounty reduced by about |
| 486s | 44 |
| 488s | after the release of the dps pass and we |
| 490s | can even see that the surgical strike |
| 492s | patch |
| 492s | which we saw earlier that dropped both |
| 495s | supercarriers by a lot |
| 497s | didn't really affect |
| 499s | the isk that i make just the number of |
| 501s | characters behind it |
| 504s | then we have the thanatos and the |
| 505s | nitrogen those both saw at 21 |
| 508s | increase decrease i mean |
| 510s | and the estar saw about 11 |
| 513s | degrees |
| 514s | now if we also consider it that |
| 516s | that there's less risk to be made in the |
| 518s | universe now |
| 521s | and there is there is a proportion of |
| 523s | the total risk that is being generated |
| 526s | then the history is not worse off |
| 528s | at the moment |
| 530s | now we can also look at |
| 533s | the proportion of is generated by ship |
| 536s | category |
| 538s | and i've increased the time frame of it |
| 540s | here now we're looking at all the way |
| 541s | back to 2017. |
| 543s | and you can see today |
| 545s | it's mostly just sub-capital ships that |
| 547s | are generating risk |
| 550s | we got the super capitals pre-dps |
| 553s | which were about 28 of the total bounty |
| 556s | generated by the super couple by super |
| 558s | capitals |
| 560s | now more interestingly during the |
| 563s | blackout period |
| 565s | supercapitals were responsible for 40 45 |
| 568s | percent of the total estimation |
| 570s | which means that |
| 572s | not all ships were affected equally |
| 575s | during the blackout period |
| 578s | which begs the question where super |
| 580s | capital pilots or super carrier pilots |
| 584s | playing the game of low risk high reward |
| 586s | during that period |
| 588s | or even during the period just before |
| 591s | the release of the dps system |
| 594s | now we can also transition this graph to |
| 597s | see how many characters behind this |
| 599s | you can see that there are not that many |
| 601s | characters behind the subcapital group |
| 603s | but still they're generating |
| 605s | most of this there before the release of |
| 607s | the dps patch |
| 610s | so if you summarize this |
| 612s | the effects of the dps patch |
| 615s | there is dropped by from one 1.7 |
| 618s | trillion a day to one trillion day |
| 621s | and it's now at the same |
| 623s | level as it was in 2012 to 2016. |
| 626s | the risk is now generated in |
| 629s | or it's more distributed across the |
| 632s | universe |
| 635s | and those that are affected the most |
| 637s | heavily by the dbs system are the super |
| 639s | capital pilots while the sub-capital |
| 641s | pilots |
| 642s | didn't really see that much effect |
| 645s | and low-sec rating seems to be a thing |
| 647s | now |
| 649s | now |
| 650s | to finish this section i was want to |
| 652s | show some |
| 654s | statistics on the ess system |
| 657s | so here's a average auto payment from a |
| 662s | from ess |
| 664s | here's the average main bank theft |
| 666s | sitting at 50 million |
| 669s | and this is the largest main main punk |
| 671s | theft so far 1.7 billion |
| 676s | and the average reserve bank theft |
| 678s | similar amount |
| 681s | and then there is a largest auto payment |
| 683s | someone managed to get 2.5 billion from |
| 687s | an autobahn payment and then the largest |
| 689s | reserve bank theft at 10 billion |
| 692s | and then the amount that is in currently |
| 694s | in all reserve banks |
| 698s | sitting at 50 trillion estimated to be |
| 701s | 77 trillion by the end of the year end |
| 703s | of the year for anyone to grab |
| 706s | not not exactly you need the keys |
| 709s | but yeah |
| 711s | thank you everyone uh now i want to |
| 712s | welcome ccp bjorn on the stage to talk a |
| 715s | little bit about you cash |
| 722s | very nice |
| 726s | hello everyone |
| 730s | do i have audio |
| 732s | can you hear me |
| 734s | it's great to be here uh |
| 736s | super happy to uh |
| 738s | yeah finally be here after the break uh |
| 740s | fan fest has already been always been a |
| 742s | highlight of me for me working at tcp |
| 746s | and three years without fanfest in two |
| 748s | years without any events is a bit long |
| 750s | so super happy to be here |
| 752s | now uh |
| 754s | the a professional actress came to ccp |
| 756s | before fan fest and was like teaching us |
| 759s | how to do these types of presentations |
| 761s | and she emphasized that it was very |
| 764s | important to start big |
| 766s | so uh that's what i'm going to do |
| 768s | with a big ass 3d pie |
| 771s | uh it's all also like a huge no-no in |
| 774s | the analytical world to use pie charts |
| 777s | especially three t-pies so it's been a |
| 779s | bucket list item for me to be able to |
| 781s | use this |
| 782s | in a presentation for a long time |
| 785s | and uh |
| 787s | but it also illustrates the point nicely |
| 790s | uh you the attendees at fanfest 2022 |
| 794s | make up roughly 0.3 of the active player |
| 797s | base |
| 800s | when i pulled this data almost a week |
| 801s | ago you were standing at 831 players |
| 806s | 6542 accounts and 13 |
| 809s | 681 |
| 811s | [Music] |
| 812s | [Applause] |
| 813s | a characters |
| 816s | uh so as i mentioned you make up of you |
| 819s | make up 0.3 |
| 821s | of all currently active players |
| 823s | but you make up 0.9 |
| 826s | of all active accounts or like the |
| 828s | accounts belonging to those active |
| 830s | players rather and 1.1 |
| 833s | of all their characters |
| 835s | so as you can see you have a lot more |
| 837s | accounts on average |
| 840s | and you have a lot more characters than |
| 842s | the average eve player |
| 844s | 3.8 times more characters in fact |
| 849s | now you have character members in two |
| 852s | percent of all active player |
| 855s | corporations which is already kind of a |
| 857s | lot but |
| 859s | you have |
| 860s | character members in 13.4 |
| 863s | of all active player alliances |
| 865s | which is staggering |
| 869s | and even more crazily you have active |
| 872s | character members and 29 out of the 30 |
| 875s | largest alliances in evil line |
| 878s | however you don't exactly brought |
| 882s | like you don't exactly follow the |
| 883s | overall membership trends to the latter |
| 886s | the orange line here represents the |
| 888s | amount of characters you have in each of |
| 890s | these alliances while the black bars |
| 891s | underneath |
| 893s | are the same as we had before |
| 896s | so |
| 897s | brave united and pandemic legion brought |
| 900s | a disproportionate amount to federation |
| 902s | which is awesome |
| 905s | now talking alliances we got a special |
| 908s | request to uh remake this graph so |
| 912s | here you go |
| 914s | the higher you go up on this graph like |
| 917s | each star on the graph |
| 919s | indicates an alliance |
| 921s | the higher you go |
| 922s | the |
| 923s | more total lock on time on average the |
| 926s | member of the alliance have |
| 927s | and the further right to go the more |
| 929s | alts |
| 930s | each member has on average and the size |
| 932s | indicates the player |
| 934s | amount in each alliance not the |
| 936s | character count but the player count |
| 940s | so you can let this sink in a little bit |
| 943s | and yeah the orange ones |
| 945s | are represented at fan fest the blues |
| 948s | are not |
| 951s | here is a similar graph but showing very |
| 954s | different things |
| 955s | instead of alliances each star here |
| 958s | represents a player at fan fest |
| 962s | the higher you go the older the player |
| 964s | is |
| 965s | the more forward the more further to the |
| 967s | right you go |
| 969s | the more lock on time you have on the |
| 971s | most played character |
| 973s | uh yeah on your most played character |
| 976s | so as you can see you differ quite a lot |
| 979s | you are as different as you are many |
| 982s | and there yeah there are some quite |
| 984s | staggering statistics in there |
| 988s | alt counts and total playtime on the |
| 991s | most played character |
| 1000s | now here |
| 1002s | we see every character in eve online |
| 1005s | that has more than 100 hours of active |
| 1009s | game time since 2012. |
| 1012s | uh it's the same graph really as before |
| 1014s | except the axes have been flipped so now |
| 1016s | on the bottom axis you have character |
| 1018s | engineers |
| 1019s | on the y-axis you have total lock on |
| 1022s | logon hours |
| 1023s | for that character |
| 1025s | of active time again and you are |
| 1026s | represented in orange |
| 1028s | so |
| 1029s | you kind of follow the distribution but |
| 1032s | still you can also make out that you are |
| 1035s | a little further up like |
| 1038s | on the |
| 1039s | higher echelons of players definitely |
| 1040s | when it comes to age and total log on |
| 1043s | time |
| 1045s | so yeah most of you have actually spent |
| 1047s | quite an astonishing amount of time |
| 1049s | playing eve |
| 1050s | both in terms of tenure or active log on |
| 1053s | time or both |
| 1055s | uh i remember when i reached 1 000 hours |
| 1058s | in a game i was playing |
| 1060s | my friends actually threw me a party |
| 1062s | it was such an achievement and i'm not |
| 1064s | getting even kidding |
| 1067s | i was probably also the first one to do |
| 1068s | it and it was like a huge achievement |
| 1071s | however a thousand hours for you |
| 1074s | is more like a barrier to entry |
| 1078s | [Applause] |
| 1081s | and |
| 1082s | i would like to review some of your most |
| 1085s | played characters |
| 1090s | now 71 |
| 1092s | of you have reached that one thousand |
| 1094s | hour mark |
| 1098s | fifty-five percent of you |
| 1101s | have more than two thousand hours |
| 1104s | spent in the game |
| 1107s | 22 percent of you have more than five |
| 1110s | thousand dollars |
| 1112s | nine percent have more than seven |
| 1114s | thousand and five hundred hours of |
| 1116s | active play time on your most played |
| 1118s | character |
| 1121s | and 4.5 of you or 38 players have |
| 1124s | reached 10 000 hours of active game time |
| 1128s | on your most played character |
| 1129s | which is often considered |
| 1131s | the amount of time you need to reach |
| 1134s | global expertise you're like the very |
| 1136s | top |
| 1137s | of your field |
| 1140s | 13 of you |
| 1141s | have 15 000 hours of active game time on |
| 1145s | your most played character |
| 1146s | however |
| 1148s | one |
| 1149s | absolute legend |
| 1151s | has spent a total of 23 |
| 1156s | 776 |
| 1158s | active |
| 1159s | hours of game time so removing i to log |
| 1162s | on time since 2012 |
| 1165s | on his most played character |
| 1167s | and i think he deserves a round of an |
| 1169s | applause |
| 1177s | and perhaps uh a report to the security |
| 1180s | team as well no |
| 1182s | no no kidding getting kidding |
| 1184s | it's phenomenal it's almost 2.7 years |
| 1188s | of active play time |
| 1190s | since like in the last 10 years |
| 1193s | which is crazy |
| 1194s | now you have started uh started out in |
| 1197s | eve in almost every or in every year |
| 1199s | since eve came out |
| 1202s | some of you have been with us from the |
| 1203s | very beginning and some are at their |
| 1206s | very beginning |
| 1207s | in eve |
| 1208s | we actually have five players at fanfest |
| 1210s | that started out on the day eve was |
| 1213s | launched |
| 1214s | yeah |
| 1217s | may 6 2003 |
| 1220s | 19 years ago |
| 1222s | but we also have some new players which |
| 1225s | still have a little ways to go towards |
| 1227s | their thousand hour party but i hope you |
| 1229s | will be there for them |
| 1231s | to show them the ropes welcome them into |
| 1233s | the game with open arms and loaded guns |
| 1237s | like you only know how to |
| 1240s | but yeah to the fun stuff pew pew and |
| 1243s | exploding spaceships |
| 1247s | since 2007 late 2007 fan fest 2022 |
| 1251s | attendees have been involved in 2.5 |
| 1254s | million pvp kills |
| 1258s | in 85 of those kills |
| 1260s | you are the aggressing party |
| 1263s | [Applause] |
| 1267s | in 15 of those you are the victims |
| 1271s | and |
| 1273s | in 1.5 you are both |
| 1277s | which means that you guys only the |
| 1280s | players at fan fest have killed each |
| 1281s | other 40 |
| 1283s | 423 times |
| 1286s | and you've potted each other 4 000 four |
| 1288s | times |
| 1290s | which i would expect to be a little |
| 1291s | higher it's like you're kind of nice to |
| 1293s | each other just like no okay job done go |
| 1296s | it's nice it's very nice of you |
| 1298s | now |
| 1299s | even more interestingly in 10 of these |
| 1302s | 40 423 deaths |
| 1304s | one or more of the attackers also |
| 1307s | belongs to the victim player |
| 1310s | and |
| 1311s | even more oddly |
| 1313s | in 82 of those cases the final blow is |
| 1317s | delivered by a character owned by the |
| 1319s | same player as owns the victim |
| 1322s | and i have no idea what you're doing |
| 1325s | [Music] |
| 1326s | is it like insurance fraud are you |
| 1328s | practicing are you duking the dps system |
| 1331s | like i have no idea what you're doing |
| 1333s | and like what the happened in 2020 |
| 1336s | was this like uh |
| 1338s | i don't know |
| 1339s | very interesting |
| 1341s | now since 2012 we're gonna |
| 1344s | shorten the time skill a little bit you |
| 1346s | have killed 3900 |
| 1349s | no 300 000 90 wow this is a difficult |
| 1352s | number |
| 1353s | 393 |
| 1354s | 847 characters distinct characters |
| 1358s | belonging to |
| 1359s | 278 392 players |
| 1363s | almost 1.8 million times over |
| 1367s | which means you have killed each like |
| 1369s | each character that has been killed by |
| 1371s | you has been killed 4.7 times on average |
| 1375s | some a lot more than others |
| 1380s | i i resisted the urge to include the |
| 1382s | character names but |
| 1384s | some poor fella has been |
| 1386s | killed 2000 |
| 1388s | 400 twice by you |
| 1390s | seems excessive guys seems a bit |
| 1392s | excessive |
| 1394s | now you have destroyed stuff since 2012 |
| 1397s | worth |
| 1398s | 270 trillion isk |
| 1402s | and |
| 1402s | stuff worth |
| 1404s | 428 trillion has been dropped during pvp |
| 1407s | kills you've been involved in |
| 1409s | now as just uh kind of to to shape this |
| 1412s | the average destruction value for entire |
| 1415s | for even its entirety per day is 1.1 |
| 1419s | trillion |
| 1420s | so this is a lot |
| 1422s | this is actually 8 |
| 1424s | of all total pvp related destruction in |
| 1428s | eve for the past 10 years |
| 1432s | but you only make up 0.6 |
| 1434s | of the attacking characters |
| 1437s | which is crazy |
| 1439s | and only 0.4 of the attacking players |
| 1444s | so uh |
| 1445s | it seems that some people just want to |
| 1447s | watch the world burn |
| 1450s | yes indeed |
| 1453s | you have way more kills than the average |
| 1455s | player |
| 1456s | almost eight times more 8.4 times more |
| 1459s | you also have |
| 1461s | way more deaths than the average player |
| 1464s | 20 times that of an image player your kt |
| 1466s | ratio is still like six so you're fine i |
| 1469s | would say |
| 1471s | uh you tend to not go for low value |
| 1474s | targets as much as the average player |
| 1477s | uh you tend to go for higher value |
| 1479s | targets and granted these are not these |
| 1481s | are not the most high value targets but |
| 1483s | these are the categories where you |
| 1484s | differ the most from the overall |
| 1488s | however the kind of more staggering |
| 1490s | thing is if you look at your percentage |
| 1492s | out of all the total kills |
| 1495s | per the highest value categories |
| 1499s | you have killed 18 of all carriers |
| 1502s | destroyed the knee for the past 10 years |
| 1504s | 36 of all forced auxiliaries |
| 1507s | and you can see the other numbers |
| 1509s | perhaps perhaps most staggering is if |
| 1511s | you have killed |
| 1512s | 64 |
| 1514s | of all titans in eve for the past 10 |
| 1516s | years |
| 1517s | you've been involved in the kills |
| 1520s | and that is crazy to me |
| 1525s | now |
| 1527s | i just want to sincerely sincerely thank |
| 1529s | you |
| 1530s | uh |
| 1531s | for all the activity you do in e online |
| 1534s | uh it's because of you and every action |
| 1535s | you make in game that i get to come to |
| 1537s | work and i i get to analyze some of the |
| 1540s | craziest and complex data sets there are |
| 1544s | your creativity and your crazy kind of |
| 1547s | shenanigans in game kind of continually |
| 1550s | blow my mind i've been here for 10 years |
| 1553s | and |
| 1554s | it kind of amazes me that i can get |
| 1556s | surprised by you guys and what to get up |
| 1558s | to still |
| 1560s | so yeah thank you very much again |
| 1564s | and you can see all your beautiful faces |
| 1567s | as i as i leave |
| 1568s | thank you |
| 1570s | [Applause] |
| 1578s | forgot one note i'm going to let this |
| 1580s | run through |
| 1584s | please join us at the roundtable at |
| 1586s | three where we'll be discussing all and |
| 1588s | everything data related actual brief |
| 1591s | player facing analytics and questions |
| 1594s | regarding these presentations if you |
| 1595s | want thank you |