[2020] 95% Miss Miss Miss Miss

This is getting infuriating. There is no way my rolls are so bad to regularly miss 4-5 95% headshots in a row. Exiting VATS and retargetting sometimes helps, but I just did a Collision Course event where it took me forever to kill even one wave because a vast majority of my 95% shots missed. Is this lag or something?

Put this with the "hits" that show a damage number high enough to one shot a scorched or feral ghoul, yet they take no damage whatsoever, sometimes 2-3 bullets in a row, and I am bleeding ammo.

Does anyone else see these happen? I came back recently from a year or so away, and I don't remember these happening before.

Edit: I primarily use a pipe revolver rifle, but I've seen it with other rifles and pistols as well, including a hunting rifle and even The Fixer.