[2021] Victorious Skin prediction 2021

I made a checklist of each champion used in Spring Split from the four major regions (NA, LEC, LPL, LCK) then gave one tally mark for each time they registered in the top 5 for various statistics. (KDA, GPM, Winrate, Ban Rate, DPM, etc.)

I then watched the Finals and gave each champion from the list who were picked or banned an additional tally point for finals bonus. (Best of 3, 4 games total.)

The final results were…

1. Udyr/Hecarim/Rell all tied.
2. Kaisa/Trist tied.
3. Varus.

When I researched the rules that decide Victorious skins, it knocks the list down even more.

1. No repeat. (All clear.)
2. No role repeat. (Lucian received Victorious last year, unsure if he was used as ADC or Mid role, could effect Trist and Kaisa’s chances.)
3. No soon future skin release. (Trist just received Hextech but everyone else isn’t on any leaked skin lists or Riots skinlist roadmap.
4. No small amount of skins. (Rell knocked out definitely.)
5. No incoming balance changes or reworks. (Udyr knocked out.)

After looking at the rules and statistics.

My opinion is…

1. Hecarim
2. Kaisa
3. Varus

Who do you think?