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| 0s | hey everyone and welcome back to mullet |
|---|---|
| 2s | over |
| 5s | today we look into mulligans and |
| 6s | match-ups from one of the most popular |
| 8s | decks from the summer championship thief |
| 10s | rogue the deck has plenty of variations |
| 13s | some including swashburglar and double |
| 15s | agent others with contraband stash and |
| 17s | tess greymane and the newest versions |
| 19s | featuring jackpot and swiftscale |
| 21s | trickster but for this episode we'll |
| 23s | focus on last weekend's best performing |
| 25s | version with double shot of concealment |
| 27s | and double si7 extortion |
| 30s | extortion itself hardly feels like a |
| 32s | crucial card to play in the deck but |
| 33s | it's still kept in the mulligan as it |
| 35s | and blackwater cutlass are your only |
| 37s | tradable cards trading on turn one is |
| 40s | ideal for thief rogue as it discounts |
| 42s | wild pawn knoll while you're still under |
| 44s | a maestro disguise naturally nol itself |
| 46s | is a keep in every match up since that |
| 48s | huge pile of stats can come down as |
| 50s | early as turn 2 with the right hand |
| 53s | when deadraw faces nagamage the mulligan |
| 55s | is almost exactly what he wants to see |
| 57s | the only thing that can make it better |
| 58s | is a tradable for turn 1. |
| 60s | preparation is usually not a keep by |
| 62s | itself and ajar and vessel is borderline |
| 65s | but together they're strong in any |
| 66s | matchup especially naga mage the matchup |
| 69s | is a close one because the rogue can |
| 71s | wreak havoc in the early turns while |
| 72s | mage is setting up but if the mage gets |
| 74s | a full spidel siren combo around turn 5 |
| 77s | there's very little rogue can do to come |
| 79s | back on board so it's on the rogue to |
| 81s | get optimal damage from board by turn 4 |
| 84s | and then close out with their burn |
| 85s | spells wicked stab and tooth of nefarian |
| 88s | are just good old mr smite even though |
| 90s | his gnoll is still expensive dead draws |
| 92s | prepped vessel on turn 2 represents even |
| 94s | more attack on board and fits the |
| 96s | gameplan better |
| 98s | with top deck gone fission he can even |
| 100s | prep the sunken vessel out and continue |
| 102s | cycling putting forward enough board |
| 104s | presents that even a pop-off turn from |
| 105s | naga mage would struggle to answer after |
| 108s | putting jochen you to eight the game is |
| 110s | mostly a formality for dead draw but he |
| 112s | still executes a perfect lethal setup |
| 114s | filet fighter and then the second gun |
| 116s | fission to draw the wicked stab he saw |
| 118s | from the first dredge he shadow stops |
| 121s | the filet and hits with his dagger |
| 123s | meaning that even if the naga mage |
| 124s | manages a full board clear and |
| 126s | counter-lethal setup next turn dead draw |
| 128s | would still have wicked stab plus dagger |
| 130s | plus filet for the perfect six damage |
| 133s | moving on to the boar priest matchup we |
| 135s | have deads vs msbc |
| 137s | shroud is also a borderline keep but |
| 139s | deds tosses it in search of higher tempo |
| 141s | options he trades his cutlass on turn 1 |
| 144s | but doesn't hit a null |
| 145s | by turn 2 the knolls in deck costs 2. if |
| 148s | he spends 1 mana on prep shroud the prep |
| 151s | would revert him to rogue so even if he |
| 153s | draws noel off of it it's unplayable |
| 155s | this turn so he goes filet fighter for |
| 157s | board presence knowing priest doesn't |
| 159s | want to commit pyro into one minion |
| 162s | with the one mana remaining he could |
| 163s | still prep shroud but he saves it in |
| 165s | case of top deck vessel next turn |
| 168s | if he doesn't get a good spell he can |
| 169s | still prep shroud and play one null next |
| 171s | turn |
| 172s | on turn 3 he plays prep reconnaissance |
| 175s | there are currently 37 non-rogue class |
| 178s | deathrattle minions 5 of which cost 5 |
| 180s | and thus fit the curve with recon on 3. |
| 183s | if he hits one of them it's on average |
| 185s | higher stats than wild pawn knoll plus |
| 188s | aegwynn fel soul jailer and spirit guide |
| 191s | all have significant upsides in the |
| 193s | matchup spirit guide can draw shadow |
| 195s | step or shroud of concealment |
| 197s | he ends up hitting felsoul jailer which |
| 199s | is arguably the best in the boer priest |
| 201s | matchup because if you can discard their |
| 203s | elwynn boar and shadowstep the jailer |
| 205s | back to hand the board never enters the |
| 207s | pool of minions for amulet of undying |
| 209s | and the priest combo is instantly dead |
| 212s | thankfully for msbc nothing like that |
| 214s | happens |
| 215s | by turn 5 dez has seen two switcheroos |
| 218s | and so he plays around zyrella by not |
| 220s | committing the azuran vessel to his |
| 222s | board which already threatens a lot of |
| 224s | damage |
| 225s | he's then able to use the vessel on a |
| 227s | refill turn which draws out the xyrella |
| 229s | clear |
| 230s | afterward he follows up with edwin |
| 232s | creating wave after wave of board and |
| 235s | eventually shadowstepping the silenced |
| 237s | edwin to make sure he always has |
| 239s | resources with this division of threats |
| 242s | deads forces msbc to play both |
| 244s | pyromancers and both shadower devourers |
| 246s | before his last amulet is ready meaning |
| 249s | deaths could kill the last pyro |
| 251s | stranding msbc's last three boars while |
| 254s | dud sets up a two-turn lethal board |
| 256s | in the end he happens to discover altar |
| 258s | of fire to burn the amulet and instantly |
| 261s | win the game but make no mistake that |
| 263s | was already won by the rogue next up we |
| 266s | have rogue vs warrior both the control |
| 269s | and charge variants are tough matchups |
| 270s | for rogue but if there's ever a recipe |
| 272s | for success it's the hand levitt keeps |
| 275s | versus fury hunter edwin is crucial |
| 277s | specifically against warrior because |
| 279s | it's a mid-game source of both card draw |
| 281s | and pressure and it can be used for an |
| 284s | otk setup with mr smite after |
| 286s | shadowcrafter scabs has been played |
| 289s | the turn one cutlass trade gets even |
| 291s | better since levick has now drawn a null |
| 293s | which creates a decision point for turn |
| 295s | 2. he can either play recon into null or |
| 298s | coin and prep out the vessel |
| 300s | because the cutlass discount went on |
| 301s | recon rather than vessel levick goes for |
| 304s | recon and null with a strong potential |
| 306s | curve of aegwen into vessel |
| 309s | note that he holds onto the coin by |
| 310s | holding back on vessel this turn |
| 315s | the way it panned out vessel was never |
| 317s | even necessary as levitt got a |
| 319s | devastating restaurant viper which |
| 321s | starved fury hunter of card draw from |
| 323s | forged in flame with edwin into shadow |
| 325s | stop already set up the coin levick |
| 328s | saved finally pays off on turn 7 |
| 330s | allowing for an early scabs |
| 335s | and of course the classic hero power |
| 336s | into edwin play seals the game with |
| 338s | plenty of damage to spare once smite is |
| 341s | found |
| 343s | last but not least let's take a look at |
| 345s | a lightning fast but intricate matchup |
| 347s | the rogue mirror |
| 348s | right off the bat msbc takes a value |
| 351s | oriented approach by keeping shroud of |
| 353s | concealment the card is quite slow but |
| 355s | it means more chances at drawing wild |
| 357s | pawn knoll the player with more early |
| 359s | knowles is far ahead in the match up and |
| 362s | playing one out for no immediate rush |
| 364s | value is always at risk of being |
| 366s | punished by null and shadow step on the |
| 368s | other side |
| 370s | on turn 1 deds trades cutless even with |
| 372s | extortion in hand losing the gamble to |
| 375s | discount his vessel |
| 376s | when you have both extortion and cutlass |
| 378s | in hand the argument to trade extortion |
| 381s | first is so that you maximize the |
| 382s | chances to discount more relevant spells |
| 385s | so at first this looked a bit strange to |
| 386s | me but that eventually does get use out |
| 389s | of a zero cost extortion |
| 392s | on turn 3 after multiple cutlass trades |
| 394s | he coins out a vessel he can follow with |
| 396s | the second unturned 4 because of the |
| 398s | discounts |
| 399s | in the mirror the first to play vessel |
| 401s | is usually at an advantage even if the |
| 403s | opponent has a knoll because the stealth |
| 405s | essentially guarantees 6 damage phase |
| 409s | by turn 4 msbc has played his second |
| 412s | shroud and is far behind on tempo even |
| 414s | with a trade on turn 1 his knoll still |
| 417s | costs 1 since he drew smite and viper |
| 419s | earlier but the stealth from shroud can |
| 421s | at least protect it |
| 423s | dead's own turn 4 consists of a close |
| 425s | choice between blademaster okani and |
| 427s | azsharin vessel okani here can |
| 429s | potentially block a vessel on the other |
| 431s | side but is also vulnerable to cutlass |
| 434s | with a knoll already on board duds could |
| 436s | have gone for a mind game of blocking |
| 438s | minion instead which would potentially |
| 440s | punish a second knoll but chooses the |
| 442s | safer line of vessel he even skips on |
| 445s | trading cutlass first to avoid the risk |
| 447s | of discounting a different spell |
| 449s | by this point he can already count a |
| 451s | total of 24 damage by turn seven twelve |
| 454s | from his four three threes and twelve |
| 456s | from smite plus shadow step he only |
| 459s | needs six more for lethal so he commits |
| 461s | extortion for another three damage while |
| 463s | msbc is still unscathed |
| 467s | msbc responds with noel shadowstep to |
| 469s | clear two of the 33s plus his own vessel |
| 472s | better late than never |
| 474s | but dead straw's tooth of nefarian the 3 |
| 476s | damage he was missing with a clear 3 |
| 478s | turn lethal setup okani plus cutlass to |
| 481s | kill the opposing knoll looks decent but |
| 483s | the okani hardly gets battlecry value |
| 485s | when it's dead to trades on board so |
| 488s | detz trades his cutlass and daggers up |
| 490s | instead using tooth as removal to |
| 492s | protect his own health total the hero |
| 495s | power still represents a lethal setup |
| 497s | this way counting a re-dagger on turn |
| 499s | seven |
| 500s | however msbc capitalizes with the top |
| 503s | deck krabatoa setting up a lethal of his |
| 505s | own deds responds by removing max damage |
| 508s | with extortion plus null to kill the |
| 510s | crab while still getting his might plus |
| 512s | shadow step setup done but in the end |
| 515s | msbc clutches out a shadow stop for 14 |
| 518s | total burst from hand while it's true he |
| 521s | had fortunate top decks back to back his |
| 523s | early shrouds let him find every minion |
| 525s | in his deck by that point so hitting the |
| 527s | smite combo wasn't very unlikely |
| 529s | ultimately it goes to show how quickly |
| 531s | tempo can shift in the mirror and that's |
| 533s | all for thief rogue as always thank you |
| 535s | for tuning in and see you next time on |
| 537s | mullet over |