I'm going to try and engage in good faith and do the math for you for BOTH sides rather than just what we're getting now.
Old Battle Passes (Free track)
300 tokens per completed free pass.
1 Champion Shard costs 50 tokens. 300/50=6
Champion shards 960 minimum BE.
960x5=4,800.
6 passes a year, 4,800x6=28,800 BE lost.
First Win Of The Day
For this calculation we'll be doing that you play a single coop vs AI game per day for it and ONLY it. We're ignoring the potential exp you would have gained from said game.
400 Exp and 50 BE per 24 hours.
50BEx365days=18250 BE
400expx365days=146,000exp
Average level is 3171exp.
146000/3171=46.0422 levels. We'll keep it at 46 to be simple.
1 level = 1 capsule
46 capsules
For simplicity sake we'll say 4 of those capsules are Glorious ones due to getting 1 every 10 levels and say you start at 1 every time we calculate this.
New Free Pass
4950BE per pass
6 passes a year
4950x6 = 29700 BE
4 capsules per pass
6 passes a year
4x6 = 24 capsules a year
So First Win of the Day vs New Free Pass
46 Capsules (4 of which are Glorious) vs 24 Capsules
18,250 BE vs 29,700 BE
Old Free Pass vs New Free Pass
0 Capsules vs 24 Capsules
28,800 BE Minimum vs 29,700 BE
First Win of the Day + Old Free Pass vs New Free Pass
46 Capsules (4 of which are Glorious) vs 24 Capsules
47,050 BE Minimum vs 29,700 BE
This is without calculating any experience gained from playing the games to complete said passes, or for fun, or with experience boosts, or anything related to actually gaining capsules from leveling up.
You can't tell me that you think this is a good trade off.