Ive read some opinions claiming that the patch wont change anything and this is nonsense, let me tell you why.
Scenario 1: The midlane matchup is talon against lux, they are both lvl 6 and both have some tiny first items. Talon has 2 longswords and a dblade, lux has dring, cloth armor and the 435 gold book.
This gives Lux 58 Armor + 1070 hp currently and 65,2 armor + 1224 hp on patch 12.10. Talon has 117 Ad and no armor pen yet.
Currently: Talon jumps her hits everything + autohit and deals 1345 dmg in total, resulting in 851 dmg post armor. Leaving her at 219 hp, he dealt 89% of her hp in damage.
patch 12.10: Talon jumps her hits everything + autohit and deals 1345 dmg in total, resulting in 814 dmg post armor. Leaving her at 410 hp, he dealt 72% of her hp in damage.
Lux will survive with nearly twice the hp left.
Scenario 2: The midlane matchup is talon against lux, they are both lvl 11 and have finished their mythic and a serrated dirk for talon and armguard (fully stacked) for lux.
This gives Lux 93 Armor (effectively 69) + 1495 hp currently and 106,2 (effectively 83) armor + 1719 hp on patch 12.10. Talon has 195 ad and 28 lethality, which i factored in.
Currently: Talon jumps her hits everything + autohit and deals 2254 dmg in total, resulting in 1331 dmg post armor. Leaving her at 164 hp, he dealt 80% of her hp in damage.
patch 12.10: Talon jumps her hits everything + autohit and deals 2254 dmg in total, resulting in 1235 dmg post armor. Leaving her at 485 hp, he dealt 67% of her hp in damage.
Lux will survive with nearly 3 times the hp left.
Scenario 3: The midlane matchup is talon against lux, they are both lvl 16 and have finished their mythic and two other items. Lux has zhonyas and shadowflame, Talon has ghostblade and seryldas.
This gives Lux 128 armor (effectively 58) + 2120 hp currently and 147 (effectively 70) armor + 2414 hp on patch 12.10. Talon has 282 ad, 36 lethality and 38% armor pen, which i factored in.
Currently: Talon jumps her hits everything + autohit and deals 2987 dmg in total, resulting in 1890 dmg post armor. Leaving her at 230 hp, he dealt 89% of her hp in damage.
patch 12.10: Talon jumps her hits everything + autohit and deals 2987 dmg in total, resulting in 1758 dmg post armor. Leaving her at 656 hp, he dealt 73% of her hp in damage.
Lux will survive with nearly 3 times the hp left.
If my calculations are correct, or atleast not too far off, then the patch results in a ~15% damage decrease, which results in big differences when it comes down to absolute values.
Edit: I believe i forgot to calculate for the %armor pen nerfes, so lvl 16 talon should deal a little less damage then i calculated. Nonetheless, my point still stands.
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