If you can run ck3.exe directly but the launcher can't , this is usually a permissions problem.
Please right click on each of these, compatibility, and set them to run as the Windows Admin user:
ck3.exe and dowser.exe
C:/users//AppData/Local/Programs/Paradox Interactive/launcher-v2.2021.6/paradox launcher.exe
C:/users//AppData/Local/Programs/Paradox Interactive/bootstrapper-v2.exe
Good luck!