Sure looks like there's a comms issue here:
2023-01-14 11:50:41 [main] [ERROR] Unable to send telemetry:
Post https://prod-telemetry.paradox-interactive.com/v2/launcher_2: write tcp 192.168.0.210:55507->44.207.252.10:443: wsasend: An existing connection was forcibly closed by the remote host.
You need to make sure all these apps are in the exceptions lists in all your firewalls:
stellaris.exe and dowser.exe (in the Steam stellaris folder)
C:/users/AppData/Local/Programs/Paradox Interactive/launcher-v2.2023.1.1/paradox launcher.exe
C:/users/AppData/Local/Programs/Paradox Interactive/bootstrapper-v2.exe
If you use Windows Defender, they need to be in both the Public and Private lists there.
Good luck!